(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR
18.4N 142.4E, APPROXIMATELY 331 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF GUAM. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A POTENTIAL, WEAK LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION (LLC) EMBEDDED IN THE BROADER CIRCULATION OF TYPHOON 29W
WITH PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION OVERHEAD, ISOLATED FROM THE
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TYPHOON 29W. A 280357Z AMSR2 GW1 89GHZ
SHOWS A SIMILAR PICTURE WITH DEEP CONVECTION OVERHEAD THE LLC WITH
FRAGMENTED, PERIPHERAL DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE BANDING
FROM TYPHOON 29W. 96W IS CURRENTLY IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT
WITH GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW OFFSET BY OVERHEAD CONVERGENCE FROM
TYPHOON 29W'S OUTFLOW. 96W IS EXPERIENCING UNFAVORABLE (25 TO 30
KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM (27 TO 28 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 96W WILL
TRACK GENERALLY NORTHWARD BEFORE GETTING CAUGHT IN BETWEEN TWO
SUBTROPICAL RIDGES WITHOUT MUCH INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS LOW.
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