應該是巔峰了0.0四週的乾空氣應該會讓他減弱，然後就結束一生

這預測強度...不只是在TS而已 還是在TS的下限呢

INIT  06/1500Z 14.0N 118.7W   30 KT  35 MPH
12H  07/0000Z 14.5N 119.5W   30 KT  35 MPH
24H  07/1200Z 15.0N 120.5W   35 KT  40 MPH
36H  08/0000Z 15.5N 121.5W   35 KT  40 MPH
48H  08/1200Z 16.0N 122.0W   35 KT  40 MPH
72H  09/1200Z 16.5N 122.5W   30 KT  35 MPH
96H  10/1200Z 16.5N 123.5W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H  11/1200Z 16.5N 124.5W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

哦~TCFA囉

WTPN21 PHNC 061200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
140 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13.7N 117.3W TO 15.6N 122.1W
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY
AT 060600Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 13.8N 117.5W. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10
KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 13.8N 117.5W,
APPROXIMATELY 340 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CLARION ISLAND, MEXICO.
RECENT ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD,
CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH A LARGE AREA
OF DEEP CONVECTION BEGINNING TO BUILD AROUND IT. UPPER LEVEL
ANALYSIS REVEALS THE AREA HAS AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE LOCATED
JUST TO EAST IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF MODERATE (10-15 KNOTS) VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR, GIVING THE AREA GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE AT 1006 MB. DUE TO INCREASED
CONSOLIDATION OF THE LLCC, THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY
071200Z.//
NNNN