94L High 09L之重編?

martin191919 · 2013-9-15 06:54

09L-Humberto 直達車~~
94L INVEST.35kts-1005mb-25.4N-36.3W

krichard2011 · 2013-9-16 19:00

可見光終於出來了
這個LLCC期時還滿漂亮的
只可惜大片強對流都在圖上右上角
不過中心附近又開始有一些對流發展
就看他能不能在爆起來...

krichard2011 · 2013-9-16 18:10

本帖最後由 krichard2011 於 2013-9-16 18:11 編輯

前一報FW 再度發出TCFA
不過嚴重裸奔...
NHC在前幾報曾預測到了高緯再度增強甚至來到65kts
不知道能不能如他所願高緯再次登上Cat.1
但我認為機會不大 = =

马鞍二世 · 2013-9-15 14:19

NHC：70%
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HUMBERTO IS LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF THE AZORES.  THE CYCLONE CONTINUES TO PRODUCE SOME DISORGANIZED
SHOWER ACTIVITY...BUT UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY NOT CONDUCIVE
FOR REDEVELOPMENT.  CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO BECOME MORE
FAVORABLE FOR REGENERATION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS THE SYSTEM
MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH
CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A HIGH CHANCE...90 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE IN FIVE DAYS.

martin191919 · 2013-9-15 07:05

NHC : 50%
THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...50
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND A HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE IN FIVE DAYS AS THE DISTURBANCE REACHES WARMER WATERS.