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1612 南修 環流小巧 登陸長崎後減弱為熱帶低壓

簽到天數: 3280 天

[LV.Master]伴壇終老

t02436|2016-8-31 14:10 | 顯示全部樓層
JTWC直接評級Medium
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR
21.4N 123.4E, APPROXIMATELY 240 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI,
TAIWAN. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A
CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH DEVELOPING
CONVECTION TO THE SOUTH. A 310138Z AMSU 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS
WELL-DEFINED CLOUD LINES WRAPPING INTO THE LLCC. THE SYSTEM IS
LOCATED IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND
LOW (5-10 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE
FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE WEAK
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT TRACKS
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED
AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE
NEAR 1004 MB. DUE TO THE DEFINED LLCC AND FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT, THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS MEDIUM.

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94W_gefs_latest.png

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20160831.051404.h8.ahi.Infrared.tc1694WINVEST.covg100p0.himawarinesdisstar.res1km.jpg
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簽到天數: 1989 天

[LV.Master]伴壇終老

ben811018|2016-8-31 11:18 | 顯示全部樓層
螢幕擷取畫面 (574).png

【台灣巴士海峽 熱帶性低氣壓94W】
熱帶性低氣壓94W目前位於巴士海峽,這個系統源自南海,在昨天通過台灣南方,今天進入西北太平洋,並增強為熱帶性低氣壓,94w較強的雲系多集中在系統的南側,加上正在遠離台灣,因此對台灣影響有限。
 
預計94W未來幾天東移的過程中強度有逐漸增強的趨勢,在高壓及北方低壓系統共同引導下,持續朝東北進行,趨向日本琉球。

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簽到天數: 3280 天

[LV.Master]伴壇終老

t02436|2016-8-31 10:55 | 顯示全部樓層
JMA 00Z升格TD
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 21N 124E EAST SLOWLY.

16083109.png

94W_gefs_latest.png

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