0908morakot

基本資料   
編號　　　　：99 W
擾動編號日期：2017 年 09 月 19 日 00 時
撤編日期　　：2017 年 09 月 20 日 21 時
99W INVEST 170918 1200   8.6N  148.3E WPAC   15   NA

j5323751

希望可以發展  西太好平靜 都沒有猛貨  北大超熱鬧的

pcstar

評級LOW

ABPW10 PGTW 192200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
/SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/REISSUED/192200Z-200600ZSEP2017//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 10.7N 144.2E,
APPROXIMATELY 215 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS INCREASED AND CONSOLIDATING
CONVECTION AROUND A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC).
ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS SHOWS WEAK LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE NEAR THE
LLCC.  UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE IS MODERATELY FAVORABLE FOR
DEVELOPMENT ALONG WITH FAVORABLE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW.  VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR IS MODERATE (10-15 KNOTS) FOR DEVELOPMENT.  NUMERICAL MODELS
INDICATE THAT THIS AREA WILL REMAIN WEAK AND GRADUALLY DISSIPATE AS
IT TRAVELS WESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED AREA TO PARA 1.B.(1) AS LOW.//
NNNN