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90W 併入98W環流內

簽到天數: 153 天

[LV.7]常住居民III

2017-10-11 01:44 | 顯示全部樓層
本帖最後由 霧峰追風者 於 2017-10-12 14:56 編輯

  基本資料  
編號    :90 W
擾動編號日期:2017 10 11 01
撤編日期  :2017 10 12 15
90W-INVEST-15kts-1007mb-16N-125.6E

20171010.1710.himawari-8.ir.90W.INVEST.15kts.1007mb.16N.125.6E.100pc.jpg

點評

無論如何路徑變化不大  發表於 2017-10-11 07:20
居然另編了90W,渦度開始轉紅,難道會是北邊的中心獲勝?  發表於 2017-10-11 01:48

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參與人數 1水氣能量 +15 收起 理由
king111807 + 15

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簽到天數: 153 天

[LV.7]常住居民III

霧峰追風者|2017-10-11 04:22 | 顯示全部樓層
本帖最後由 霧峰追風者 於 2017-10-11 04:23 編輯

JTWC 20Z評級LOW
(2) AN AREA OF SHARP TURNING (INVEST 90W) AT THE NORTHWESTERN
EXTENT OF AN ACTIVE MONSOON TROUGH HAS PERSISTED NEAR
16.2N 125.4E, APPROXIMATELY 270 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF MANILA,
PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A
VERY BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH FLARING CONVECTION LOCATED
MOSTLY TO THE WEST OF ITS CENTER. THE DISTURBANCE IS CURRENTLY
LOCATED IN A MOSTLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL DUE TO GOOD UPPER LEVEL
DIVERGENCE, LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20 KNOTS), AND
VERY WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (30-31 CELSIUS). GLOBAL MODEL
GUIDANCE IS CURRENTLY INDICATING THAT INVEST 90W MAY CONSOLIDATE OR
POTENTIALLY MERGE WITH INVEST 98W TO FORM A TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
THE NEXT 48 HOURS WHILE TRACKING WESTWARD NEAR THE TIP OF LUZON.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.

abpwsair (3).jpg 20171010.1940.himawari-8.ircolor.90W.INVEST.15kts.1003mb.16.2N.125.4E.100pc.jpg


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簽到天數: 153 天

[LV.7]常住居民III

霧峰追風者|2017-10-12 14:54 | 顯示全部樓層
JTWC 06Z取消評級,併入98W環流內
(2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.2N
125.6E HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT
OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
abpwsair.jpg 20171012.0610.himawari-8.ircolor.90W.INVEST.15kts.1010mb.14.6N.125.5E.100pc.jpg

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