開啟輔助訪問
 找回密碼
 立即加入

94E 環境轉差 逐漸北上

簽到天數: 181 天

[LV.7]常住居民III

2017-11-12 02:39 | 顯示全部樓層
  基本資料  
編號    :94 E
擾動編號日期:2017 11 12 02
撤編日期  :2017 11 14 19
94E-INVEST-20kts-1006mb-11.8N-118.9W

20171111.1800.goes-15.ir.94E.INVEST.20kts.1006mb.11.8N.118.9W.100pc.jpg
NHC:20%
1. A weak area of low pressure located about 950 miles southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing
disorganized cloudiness and showers.  Gradual development of this
system is possible before upper-level winds become unfavorable for
development by the middle of next week.  This system is expected to
move west-northwestward across the open eastern Pacific during the
next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

two_pac_2d1 (5).png


評分

參與人數 1水氣能量 +15 收起 理由
... + 15

查看全部評分

簽到天數: 181 天

[LV.7]常住居民III

霧峰追風者|2017-11-12 13:23 | 顯示全部樓層
NHC 展望提升至50%
1. Recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that the low pressure
system located about 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula is gradually becoming better defined.
Shower and thunderstorm activity is also beginning to show some
signs of organization, and a tropical depression could form during
the next day or so if this recent development trend continues. By
the middle of next week, however, upper-level winds are expected
become quite unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation to occur.
This system is forecast to move west-northwestward to northwestward
across the open eastern Pacific during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
two_pac_2d1 (6).png 20171112.0501.goes-15.ircolor.94E.INVEST.30kts.1007mb.11.7N.120.4W.100pc.jpg


回復

使用道具 舉報

簽到天數: 181 天

[LV.7]常住居民III

霧峰追風者|2017-11-12 15:35 | 顯示全部樓層
NHC 06Z展望提升至70%。
1. Recent reports from a nearby ship indicate that the low pressure
system located more than 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of
the Baja California peninsula has continued to become better
defined.  Only a slight increase in the organization of the
associated thunderstorm activity would result in the formation of a
tropical depression on Sunday. By the middle of next week, however,
upper-level winds are expected become quite unfavorable for tropical
cyclone formation to occur. This system is forecast to move
west-northwestward to northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the open
eastern Pacific during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
two_pac_2d1 (7).png rgb-animated (12).gif


回復

使用道具 舉報

簽到天數: 181 天

[LV.7]常住居民III

霧峰追風者|2017-11-13 13:57 | 顯示全部樓層
NHC 展望降低至60%,逐漸北上
1. Satellite imagery indicates that the low pressure system located
about 1300 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California continues to produce widespread cloudiness and
disorganized showers. Although environmental conditions are
gradually becoming less conducive for development to occur, only a
slight increase in organization would result in the formation of a
tropical depression later tonight or on Monday. By Tuesday morning,
however, upper-level winds are expected become quite unfavorable for
tropical cyclone formation to occur.  This system is forecast to
move west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph across the open eastern
Pacific during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
two_pac_2d1 (8).png 20171113.0530.goes-15.ircolor.94E.INVEST.35kts.1005mb.15.7N.127.2W.100pc.jpg rgb-animated (13).gif


回復

使用道具 舉報

簽到天數: 181 天

[LV.7]常住居民III

霧峰追風者|2017-11-14 06:41 | 顯示全部樓層
NHC 展望再降至20%....
1. The low pressure system located more than a 1000 miles
west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California is
producing a small area of showers and isolated thunderstorms
displaced about 90 miles to the northeast of the surface circulation
center.  Environmental conditions are becoming less favorable for
development, and are forecast to become quite unfavorable for
tropical cyclone formation by Tuesday night.  This system is
expected to move west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph across the open
eastern Pacific during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
two_pac_2d1 (9).png


回復

使用道具 舉報

快速回覆
您需要登錄後才可以回帖 登錄 | 立即加入

本版積分規則

霧峰追風者

    主題

    帖子

    116萬

    積分

    14級[二級颶風]

    Rank: 14Rank: 14Rank: 14Rank: 14

14級[二級颶風]

發私訊

本平台僅供學術討論之用,預報應以氣象局為準

威普網站虛擬主機贊助公司

台灣第一個天氣類型社群平台 即時天氣資訊、精準颱風動態 淺顯易懂地球科學科科普教育


線上客服
FB訊息傳送
廣告行銷
精準行銷 物超所值
官方粉專
發佈 快速回復 返回頂部 返回列表