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90W 南海低緯擾動

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[LV.9]以壇為家II

2018-1-12 00:31 | 顯示全部樓層
本帖最後由 霧峰追風者 於 2018-1-16 15:58 編輯

  基本資料  
編號    :90 W
擾動編號日期:2018 01 12 00
撤編日期  :2018 01 16 15
90W.INVEST.15kts.1004mb.1N.107.5E

20180111.1600.himawari-8.ir.90W.INVEST.15kts.1004mb.1N.107.5E.100pc.jpg

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alu
畫眉第二?  發表於 2018-1-12 23:11
新加坡以東⋯⋯  發表於 2018-1-12 00:43

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參與人數 3水氣能量 +65 2018擾動搶樓 +1 收起 理由
s6815711 + 1
jacky + 50 贊一個!
t02436 + 15

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[LV.Master]伴壇終老

zjk369|2018-1-12 07:26 | 顯示全部樓層
abiosair 201801112045.jpg
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[LV.Master]伴壇終老

zjk369|2018-1-12 10:53 | 顯示全部樓層
abpwsair 201801120200.jpg
12小時內 LOW--MEDIUM

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補充JTWC 02Z評級提升Medium報文[attachimg]76045[/attachimg]  詳情 回復 發表於 2018-1-12 11:18
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[LV.9]以壇為家II

霧峰追風者|2018-1-12 11:18 | 顯示全部樓層
zjk369 發表於 2018-1-12 10:53
12小時內 LOW--MEDIUM

補充JTWC 02Z評級提升Medium報文
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 1.6N 108.6E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 1.3N 107.5E, APPROXIMATELY 220
NM EAST OF SINGAPORE. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY
DEPICTS FLARING CONVECTION OVER THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A SOMEWHAT
DEFINED BUT CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. AN 112310Z SSMIS 91
GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS DEEP CONVECTION BEGINNING TO WRAP INTO A
BROAD LLCC. THE DISTURBANCE IS CURRENTLY LOCATED IN A MARGINALLY
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT, LOW TO MODERATE
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20 KNOTS), AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES
(28-30 CELSIUS). GLOBAL MODELS ARE MIXED AS TO HOW THE SYSTEM WILL
TRACK BUT SHOW THAT THE MOST LIKELY SCENARIO IS THAT IT WILL TRACK
TO THE WEST AND INTENSIFY AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE NORTHEASTERLY
SURGE EVENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO
20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006
MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.
20180112.0230.himawari-8.ircolor.90W.INVEST.20kts.1006mb.1.3N.107.5E.100pc.jpg


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[LV.10]以壇為家III

周子堯@FB|2018-1-14 16:51 | 顯示全部樓層
13日21時升低壓區,預計明天升熱低
18011321.png
18011509.png

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[LV.9]以壇為家II

霧峰追風者|2018-1-16 15:57 | 顯示全部樓層
JTWC 取消評級。
ABPW10 PGTW 160600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/160600Z-170600ZJAN2018//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
abiosair (1).jpg


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