(2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR
14.3N 165.4E, APPROXIMATELY 1210 NM EAST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM.
ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A WEAK EXPOSED
LLCC DISPLACED FROM PERSISTENT CONVECTION BY SHEAR. A 271729Z MHS
89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS A BROAD AREA OF TURNING WITH FLARING
CONVECTION SHEARED TO THE EAST. THE DISTURBANCE IS CURRENTLY LOCATED
ESE OF A TUTT CELL, ALLOWING FOR EXCELLENT POLEWARD OUTFLOW. THE
SYSTEM IS IN AN AREA OF MODERATE TO HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-30
KNOTS) WITH WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (27-29 CELSIUS). GLOBAL
MODELS ARE CURRENTLY NOT SHOWING MUCH DEVELOPMENT, THOUGH SOME DO
MAINTAIN A CLOSED OFF CIRCULATION AT TIMES, AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS TO
THE WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1010 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
