簽到天數: 1650 天 [LV.Master]伴壇終老
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老農民版夜神月|2020-1-19 08:42
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本帖最後由 老農民版夜神月 於 2020-1-19 13:41 編輯
JTWC18/1800Z評級Low
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 9.0S
64.9E, APPROXIMATELY 460 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 181353Z WINDSAT 37GHZ IMAGE
DEPICT FLARING DEEP CONVECTION OVER A BROAD, POORLY-ORGANIZED LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES LOW
TO MODERATE (10-20KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD EQUATORWARD
OUTFLOW. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-30C) ARE FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER
DEVELOPMENT. GLOBAL MODELS DEPICT INVEST 94S INTENSIFYING AS IT
TRACKS SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW. 
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