ABIO10 PGTW 131800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN
/OCEAN/131800Z-141800ZMAY2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91B) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 9.2N
87.1E, APPROXIMATELY 550 NM SOUTHEAST OF VISAKHAPATNAM, INDIA.
ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 131243Z SSMIS 91
GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT A CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
WITH SOME WEAK FORMATIVE BANDING TO THE SOUTHEAST. INVEST 91B IS IN
A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH GOOD EQUATORWARD
OUTFLOW, WARM (28-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND LOW (<15 KTS)
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT
THAT INVEST 91B WILL CONTINUE TO CONSOLIDATE AND INTENSIFY AS IT
TRACKS NORTHWARD IN THE BAY OF BENGAL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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