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Heigo|2020-8-26 10:58
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顯示全部樓層
JTWC Low AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR
15.1N 134.6E, APPROXIMATELY 780 NM SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AIR BASE,
OKINAWA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 252221Z
SSMIS 91GHZ IMAGE DEPICT A BROAD DISORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
WITH FRAGMENTED FORMATIVE BANDING IN THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE. INVEST
94W IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW (<15KTS)
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, AND WARM (30-31C) SEA
SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN STRONG AGREEMENT THAT
INVEST 94W WILL QUICKLY CONSOLIDATE IN THE NEXT 2 TO 3 DAYS AND
TRACK NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
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