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BOB 02(91B) 大型季風低壓 登陸印度

查看數: 1487 評論數: 6 收藏 0切换到帖子模式
    組圖打開中,請稍候......
發佈時間: 2020-10-9 15:42

正文摘要:

  熱帶低壓   編號:BOB 02  ( 91 B ) 名稱:無   基本資料   擾動編號日期:2020 年 10 月 09 日 15 時 撤編日期  :2020 年 10 月 13 日 20 時 登陸地點 ...

Heigo 發表於 2020-10-12 14:22
本帖最後由 Heigo 於 2020-10-12 14:23 編輯

JTWC Medium
THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91B) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 15.3N 86.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 86.3E, APPROXIMATELY 205
NM SOUTHEAST OF VISAKHAPATNAM, INDIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 120123Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEAL A
CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH FORMATIVE BANDING IN THE
WESTERN PERIPHERY. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS INVEST 91B IS IN A
MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH DIFFLUENCE
ALOFT, MODERATE (15-20KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM (29-30C)
SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE A LIMITED
NORTHWESTWARD TRACK OVER WATER WITH LANDFALL NEAR 130000Z; HOWEVER,
THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO STEADILY CONSOLIDATE AS IT APPROACHES THE
COAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 999 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.

abpwsair (17).jpg
Heigo 發表於 2020-10-11 15:15
IMD:BOB 02
ftrack.png

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