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93L 大西洋低緯擾動

簽到天數: 1198 天

[LV.10]以壇為家III

2020-10-12 01:27 | 顯示全部樓層
本帖最後由 老農民版夜神月 於 2020-10-16 01:57 編輯

  基本資料  
編號               :93 L
擾動編號日期 :2020 10 12 01
撤編日期        :2020 10 00 00
93L.INVEST.20kts.1010mb.9.9N.46.2W

20201011.1700.goes-16.vis.2km.93L.INVEST.20kts.1010mb.9.9N.46.2W.pc.jpg

  NHC:20%  

1. A tropical wave located about 1000 miles east of the Windward
Islands continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Some slow development of this system is possible during the next
couple of days while it moves generally westward near 15 mph.  
Strong upper-level winds are expected to limit additional
development by midweek.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

two_atl_2d1.png two_atl_5d1.png

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參與人數 1水氣能量 +15 2020擾動搶樓 +1 收起 理由
king111807 + 15 + 1 熱帶擾動首帖

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簽到天數: 1198 天

[LV.10]以壇為家III

老農民版夜神月|2020-10-16 01:56 | 顯示全部樓層
NHC已不再對93L發布展望
two_atl_2d0.png 20201015.1710.goes-16.vis.2km.93L.INVEST.25kts.1010mb.15.1N.62W.pc.jpg
93L_gefs_latest.png LATEST.jpg
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簽到天數: 1198 天

[LV.10]以壇為家III

老農民版夜神月|2020-10-15 02:51 | 顯示全部樓層
NHC展望降至10%,對於93L而言能發展的時間可能已經不多了
1. A broad area of low pressure approaching the Lesser Antilles
continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers
and thunderstorms, mainly to the east of its center.  Strong
upper-level winds are expected to inhibit significant development
while the system moves west-northwestward over the next couple of
days.  Regardless of development, the system could produce locally
heavy rainfall across portions of the central and northern Lesser
Antilles today, the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Thursday, and
Hispaniola on Friday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.
two_atl_2d1.png 93L_gefs_latest.png
93L_intensity_latest.png 20201014.1800.goes-16.vis.2km.93L.INVEST.30kts.1009mb.14.5N.57.9W.pc.jpg
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簽到天數: 1198 天

[LV.10]以壇為家III

老農民版夜神月|2020-10-13 01:59 | 顯示全部樓層
NHC展望微幅提升至30%
1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located
about 750 miles east of the Windward Islands continue to show signs
of organization.  Slow development of this system is possible
during the next day or so while it moves generally westward near 15
mph. Strong upper-level winds are expected to limit further
development by midweek.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
two_atl_2d1.png 20201012.1720.goes-16.vis.2km.93L.INVEST.30kts.1009mb.12.1N.50.1W.pc.jpg
LATEST.jpg 20201012.1623.gw1.89pct89h89v.93L.INVEST.30kts.1009mb.12.1N.50.1W.65pc.jpg
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