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30L.Theta 北大第29個風暴為史上最多 破2005年紀錄

簽到天數: 1650 天

[LV.Master]伴壇終老

老農民版夜神月|2020-11-10 03:26 | 顯示全部樓層
NHC評級提升至High,70%/80%
1. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a low pressure
system located several hundred miles southwest of the Azores has
increased and become better organized during the past several hours.
Satellite-derived wind data earlier this morning suggested that the
system had not yet become distinct from a frontal boundary in the
area, however, it will likely become non-frontal soon. The satellite
data also indicated that the system is already producing gale-force
winds. Additional development is expected, and a tropical or
subtropical storm will likely form during the next day or two while
the system moves eastward or east-northeastward over the
northeastern Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
two_atl_2d1 (2) (12).png two_atl_5d1 (2) (7).png
20201109.1830.msg-4.ir.97L.INVEST.35kts.1005mb.28.8N.42.4W.100pc.jpg 87d6e6bf-9d53-4c31-a747-7008dd26378e.jpeg
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簽到天數: 1650 天

[LV.Master]伴壇終老

老農民版夜神月|2020-11-9 15:26 | 顯示全部樓層
數值普遍支持97L的發展,就看最後是會成為TS還是SS了

#!001_MicrosoftEdge_User_Default_WebNotes_Microsoft-Edge-Web-Notes-Easterlyw49011000.jpg 97L_gefs_latest.png
97L_intensity_latest.png
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簽到天數: 483 天

[LV.9]以壇為家II

dom|2020-11-9 14:47 | 顯示全部樓層
提升至medium
1. Shower activity associated with a non-tropical low pressure system
located several hundred miles southwest of the Azores is showing
some signs of organization.  This system will likely gradually
acquire subtropical or tropical characteristics this week, and a
tropical or subtropical storm could develop within a few days while
this system moves eastward or east-northeastward over the
northeastern Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medum...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
two_atl_2d1.png two_atl_5d0.png

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dom
然後加勒比海有一隻0%/50%的  發表於 2020-11-9 14:49
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