dom

JTWC將評級提升至medium

(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.8S 65.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.1S 65.9E, APPROXIMATELY 403 NM WEST- SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS DISORGANIZED CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC TURNING. A 131848Z ASCAT-B PASS SHOWS AN AREA OF SLIGHTLY ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH WINDS OF 15-20 KTS IN THE SOUTHWEST PERIPHERY. INVEST 93S IS LOCATED IN AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT WITH ROBUST UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW, LOW (10-15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF 29-30 CELSIUS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.

dom

JTWC評級low

(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
8.8S 65.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.1S 65.9E, APPROXIMATELY 403 NM WEST-
SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE
IMAGERY DEPICTS DISORGANIZED CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF
LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC TURNING. A 131848Z ASCAT-B PASS SHOWS AN AREA OF
SLIGHTLY ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH WINDS OF
15-20 KTS IN THE SOUTHWEST PERIPHERY. INVEST 93S IS LOCATED IN AN
ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT WITH ROBUST UPPER LEVEL
OUTFLOW, LOW (10-15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) AND WARM SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES OF 29-30 CELSIUS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO
BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO LOW.