king111807

NHC展望在提升至50%

1. Showers and thunderstorms continue to become better organized in
association with a broad area of low pressure located several
hundred miles southwest of the coast of southern Mexico.  Although
environmental conditions are only somewhat conducive for
development, a short-lived tropical depression could still form
within the next couple of days as the low moves west-northwestward
or northwestward at about 10 mph, away from the coast of Mexico.  By
midweek, conditions are forecast to become increasingly unfavorable
for further development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

老農民版夜神月

過去半天對流有所加強,整體環流亦變得較有組織,NHC展望重新提升至Medium,40%

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the coast of
southern Mexico have increased and become a little better
organized since yesterday.  Although environmental conditions are
forecast to be only marginally conducive, some additional
development is possible, and the system could become a short-lived
tropical depression within the next couple of days.  The low is
forecast to move west-northwestward or northwestward at about 10 mph
away from the coast of Mexico.  Conditions are expected to become
unfavorable for further development around midweek.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

dom

NHC06z把展望降回30%，結構仍然有待整合，周遭乾空氣問題較為嚴重

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1000 PM PST Sat Nov 14 2020

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. A broad and disorganized area of low pressure located several
hundred miles southwest of the coast of southern Mexico continues to
produce minimal shower activity. Slow development of this system is
possible, and a tropical depression could form in a few days as the
system moves slowly west-northwestward or northwestward away from
the coast of Mexico. By late next week, conditions are expected to
become unfavorable for further development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. Forecaster Zelinsky

老農民版夜神月

NHC展望提升至50%

EP, 98, 2020111418,   , BEST,   0, 135N, 1074W,  25, 1008, LO

1. Shower and thunderstorm activity remains disorganized in association
with a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles
southwest of the coast of southern Mexico.  However, environmental
conditions appear conducive for gradual development, and a tropical
depression is likely to form early next week as the system moves
slowly west-northwestward or northwestward away from the coast of
Mexico. By late next week, conditions are expected to become
unfavorable for further development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.