JTWC09Z發布Final Warning

移動速度很快且中心已經登陸澳洲四北部，02U最終並沒有獲得任何命名.

將於24H內直襲澳洲西北部，要能獲名的難度是越來越高了

At 1pm WST Thursday 10 December, Tropical Low 02U was located near 14.7S 112.0E, over open waters approximately 800 kilometres southeast of Christmas Island and 900 kilometres northwest of Karratha. The system is accelerating towards the southeast, and is forecast to cross the east Pilbara coast during Friday, most likely during the afternoon.

There is a Low risk of 02U developing into a tropical cyclone overnight into Friday morning prior to crossing the east Pilbara coast. There is a very slight risk it moves slower than forecast and crosses the coast as late as Saturday morning. Although the risk of the system being classified as a tropical cyclone is Low, there is a moderate to high risk of persistent gale force winds in the northeastern quadrant of 02U, meaning damaging winds could still be experienced near the low. These stronger winds are the result of enhanced monsoonal northwesterly flow and the system's speed of movement. Heavy rainfall is also expected with the passage of the tropical low.

A Severe Weather Warning is in place for parts of the Pilbara and adjacent west Kimberley for the potential for damaging winds and heavy rainfall, in addition to Flood Warnings. Please refer to http://www.bom.gov.au/wa/warnings/ for more information.


Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:
Friday: Low
Saturday: Low
Sunday:Very Low

BoM對03S未來三天的最新展望還是維持為三個Low

At 1pm WST Wednesday 9 December, Tropical Low 02U was located near 11.5S 109.8E, approximately 450 kilometres east-southeast of Christmas Island. The system is moving to the southeast, with speed of motion increasing during Thursday to approach and possibly cross the eastern Pilbara and far western Kimberley coast during Friday.

There is a Low risk of 02U developing into a tropical cyclone from late Wednesday. Although the risk of the system being classified as a tropical cyclone is Low, there is a moderate to high risk of persistent gale force winds in the northeastern quadrant of 02U, meaning damaging winds could still be experienced near the low. These stronger winds are the result of enhanced monsoonal northwesterly flow and the system's speed of movement. Heavy rainfall is also expected with the passage of the tropical low.

Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:
Thursday:
Low
Friday:
Low
Saturday:
Low

JTWC新報認為目前的45節已達至其巔峰，於24h後開始減弱並趨向澳洲西北部

JTWC首報認為僅能再稍微增強，上望50節

晚間分別約於14Z及15Z的ASCAT最新風場掃描均明顯掃出TC風力
JTWC18Z升格03S,定強45KT