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08W JMA:TD[W] 登陸越南

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[LV.Master]伴壇終老

2021-7-4 01:20 | 顯示全部樓層
  基本資料  
編號               :08 W
擾動編號日期 :2021 07 04 01
撤編日期        :2021 07
09 02
97W.INVEST.15kts.1014mb.13N.122E

20210703.0724.f15.37h.97W.INVEST.15kts.1014mb.13N.122E.035pc.jpg

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參與人數 1水氣能量 +15 +1 收起 理由
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[LV.Master]伴壇終老

老農民版夜神月|2021-7-9 04:57 | 顯示全部樓層
FNMOC18Z左右撤編
20210708.1730.himawari-8.ir.08W.EIGHT.20kts.1006mb.21.7N.103.1E.100pc.jpg sfcplot_08W_latest.png
08W_b13rbtop (1).gif
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[LV.9]以壇為家II

dom|2021-7-8 16:46 | 顯示全部樓層
JMA06Z撒銷評級
WWJP27 RJTD 080600
WARNING AND SUMMARY 080600.
WARNING VALID 090600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA
AT 36N 150E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING ENE 10 KNOTS.
EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 600 MILES OF LOW SOUTHEAST
SEMICIRCLE AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE WITHIN NEXT 12 HOURS.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI
YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 141E 42N 141E
47N 152E 55N 162E 60N 163E 60N 180E 32N 180E 32N 170E 32N 150E 29N
136E 33N 136E 35N 141E.
SUMMARY.
LOW 1004 HPA AT 36N 133E EAST 10 KT.
LOW 1012 HPA AT 48N 162E NE 10 KT.
HIGH 1020 HPA AT 50N 152E SOUTH SLOWLY.
STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N 109E TO 33N 118E 35N 126E 35N 132E 36N 133E
34N 147E 36N 150E 37N 156E 50N 167E 50N 171E 49N 175E.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=
058A0AF4-1305-43AF-A003-7D8513F216ED.png
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[LV.9]以壇為家II

dom|2021-7-8 13:07 | 顯示全部樓層
JMA00Z取消Warning
WWJP27 RJTD 080000
WARNING AND SUMMARY 080000.
WARNING VALID 090000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 1004 HPA
AT 37N 148E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 10 KNOTS.
EXPECTED WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF LOW EAST SEMICIRCLE
AND 200 MILES ELSEWHERE WITHIN NEXT 18 HOURS.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI
YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 35N 141E 42N 141E
47N 152E 55N 162E 60N 163E 60N 180E 32N 180E 32N 160E 30N 144E 29N
136E 33N 136E 35N 141E.
SUMMARY.
LOW 1006 HPA AT 36N 131E EAST 10 KT.
LOW 1012 HPA AT 46N 162E NNE 10 KT.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 20N 104E WNW SLOWLY.
HIGH 1020 HPA AT 52N 152E SOUTH SLOWLY.
STATIONARY FRONT FROM 32N 110E TO 34N 120E 34N 125E 36N 131E 36N 135E
35N 140E 37N 148E 36N 155E 40N 159E 44N 165E 47N 167E 48N 173E.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

D2E25702-9C34-4717-A8CF-40EFCF1DD582.png
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[LV.Master]伴壇終老

老農民版夜神月|2021-7-8 12:31 | 顯示全部樓層
HKO亦已降格低壓區
低壓區
在香港時間 2021 年 07 月 08 日 08 時的最新資料
位置:  北緯 19.8 度,東經 105.5 度 (即香港之西南偏西約 940 公里)
中心附近最高持續風速:  每小時 40 公里
nwp_2110.png tc_2110.png
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[LV.Master]伴壇終老

老農民版夜神月|2021-7-8 09:36 | 顯示全部樓層
CMA相比JTWC顯得就認份認真的多,判定於00Z左右才登陸
台 风 预 报
预报:孙舒悦  签发:许映龙   2021 年  07 月  08 日  10 时
热带低压登陆越南清化
北部湾热带低压的中心已于今天(8日)上午7点50分前后在越南清化沿海登陆,登陆时中心附近最大风力有6级(12米/秒),中心最低气压为1002百帕。上午8点钟其中心位于越南清化境内,就是北纬19.6度、东经105.7度,中心附近最大风力有6级(12米/秒),中心最低气压为1002百帕。

预计,低压中心将以每小时20公里左右的速度向西偏北方向移动,并逐渐减弱消散。

(注:这是关于该热带低压的最后一次报告)
SEVP_NMC_TCBU_SFER_EME_ACWP_L89_P9_20210708020002400_XML_1.png 08W_b1.gif
08W_b13bd.gif 08W_b13rbtop.gif
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[LV.Master]伴壇終老

老農民版夜神月|2021-7-8 05:18 | 顯示全部樓層
本帖最後由 老農民版夜神月 於 2021-7-8 08:25 編輯

JTWC偷懶,在明顯未登陸的情況下判定登陸,並發布Final Warning wp082021.20210707201026.gif 08W_071800sair.jpg
TPPN11 PGTW 071757

A. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W (W OF HAINAN)

B. 07/1730Z

C. 20.27N

D. 107.20E

E. FIVE/HMWRI8

F. T1.0/1.0/S0.0/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS

G. IR/EIR

H. REMARKS: 63A/PBO . CNVCTN WRAPS .25 ON LOG10 SPIRAL YIELDING A
DT OF 1.0. MET AND PT AGREE. DBO. DT.

I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE


YOUNG
WTPN31 PGTW 072100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W (EIGHT) WARNING NR 002//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W (EIGHT) WARNING NR 002   
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   071800Z --- NEAR 20.4N 106.4E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
     SATELLITE AND RADAR
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   REPEAT POSIT: 20.4N 106.4E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   080600Z --- 20.7N 105.2E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 04 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   081800Z --- 21.0N 104.4E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    ---
REMARKS:
072100Z POSITION NEAR 20.5N 106.1E.
07JUL21. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08W (EIGHT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
46 NM SOUTHEAST OF HANOI, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT
14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS SHEARED CONVECTION TO THE WEST OF A POORLY
ORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION THAT IS NOW CROSSING OVER THE COAST
OF VIETNAM. THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED SLIGHTLY WEST OF THE PGTW
POSITION FIX AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 20 KTS IS HEDGED SLIGHTLY
LOWER THAN THE PGTW CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 1.0 (25 KTS).
RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS NO INDICATION OF ANY SIGNIFICANT
CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE REMAINING. DUE TO LAND INTERACTION AND HIGH
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (>25 KTS), TD 08W HAS DISSIPATED AND IS FORECAST
DECREASE TO 15 KTS WITHIN 24 HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON
THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM
WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.//
NNNN

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[LV.9]以壇為家II

dom|2021-7-7 22:12 | 顯示全部樓層
220808jv3ggmcb33x2bx89.gif

今年最短命的TD。

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