周子堯@FB

基本資料  
編號　　　　：93 W
擾動編號日期：2022 年 05 月 28 日 16 時
撤編日期　　：2022 年 05 月 31 日 00 時
93W INVEST 220528 0600 4.2N 134.7E WPAC 15 0

周子堯@FB

JMA於5/30 00Z曾一度升格TD，後於5/31 00Z撤除

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 10N 127E WNW SLOWLY.

周子堯@FB

JTWC評級Low

      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 5.5N
132.1E, APPROXIMATELY 187 NM SOUTHWEST OF PALAU. A 290317Z ANIMATED
MULTISPECTUAL SATELLEITE IMAGE SHOWS DISORGANIZED, PERSISTING
CONVECTION WITH A POORLY ORGNIZED LLC. A 290109Z METOP-C ASCAT PASS
REVEALS A PATCH OF 15-20KT WINDS IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE
AREA. ENVIROMENTAL ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT THE INVEST IS IN A FAVORABLE
AREA FOR DEVELOPMENT DEFINED BY RADIAL OUTFLOW, LOW (5-10KT)
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (30C). GLOBAL
MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN AGREEMENT THAT THE INVEST WILL TRACK GENEREALLY
NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 48-72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS
ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO
LOW.