1309 燕子即將登陸海南島

ivanhui · 2013-7-26 18:53

好有發展潛力~ 以目前大氣的環境配置，多數移向海南島？

J18 · 2013-7-26 18:19

氣象局升格為熱低壓
並預測未來會到南海
剛剛看了林嘉愷的氣象播報:
他說這個系統到南海後是否北上影響台灣
還是個未知數因為目前到下星期還要很久
所以要多加觀察!

我們就繼續看下去吧!

禾愛糖 · 2013-7-26 14:18

本帖最後由阿隆於 2013-7-26 15:23 編輯

MEDIUM
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5.3N
130.0E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.4N 129.8E, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM WEST-
SOUTHWEST OF KOROR. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI)
DEPICTS A BROAD AND SLOWLY CONSOLIDATING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER (LLCC) WITH FRAGMENTED DEEP CONVECTION IN THE WESTERN
PERIPHERY. A 252308Z SSMIS MICROWAVE IMAGE INDICATES BROKEN AND
DISORGANIZED CONVECTIVE BANDING LOOSELY WRAPPING INTO A BROAD AND
POORLY-DEFINED LLCC. A 260108Z ASCAT PASS SHOWED AN ELONGATED
CIRCULATION WITH 10 TO 15 KNOT WINDS. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES
A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (05-
15 KNOTS), WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29 TO 30 CELSIUS), AND
EXCELLENT OUTFLOW WHICH IS FURTHER BEING ENHANCED BY A TUTT CELL
NORTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. DUE TO THE OVERALL FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.

Medium已幫補上圖。