t02436

JTWC評級Low

      (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 13.3N 152.2E,
APPROXIMATELY 435 NM EAST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A SYMMETRIC CONVECTIVE SIGNATURE
OBSCURING AN ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS BEING
ENHANCED BY A 15 TO 20 KNOT SOUTHWESTERLY SURGE FAR TO THE SOUTH. A
130840Z SSMIS 37GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS WEAK LOW LEVEL BANDING
WITH THE BULK OF CONVECTION ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY. UPPER
LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR AND GOOD DUAL CHANNEL OUTFLOW WITH A POLEWARD BIAS DUE TO
A TUTT CELL LOCATED TO THE NORTH. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE WEAK
DEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM AS IT TRACKS GENERALLY NORTHWARD.   
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.