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07B.Gaja 即將登陸印度

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[LV.9]以壇為家II

2018-11-7 11:04 | 顯示全部樓層
  基本資料  
編號    :BOB 09 ( 07 B )
擾動編號日期:2018 11 07 08
撤編日期  :2018 11 00 00
90W.INVEST.15kts-1010mb-8.0N-102.7E

20181107.0230.himawari-8.vis.90W.INVEST.15kts.1010mb.8N.102.7E.100pc.jpg

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參與人數 1水氣能量 +15 2018擾動搶樓 +1 收起 理由
king111807 + 15 + 1 熱帶擾動首帖

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簽到天數: 485 天

[LV.9]以壇為家II

霧峰追風者|2018-11-8 11:46 | 顯示全部樓層
JTWC 00Z評級提升至Medium,將進入孟加拉灣發展。
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 7.9N 101.3E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.3N 100.7E, APPROXIMATELY
330 NM SOUTH OF BANGKOK, THAILAND. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY AND A 072349Z SSMIS F-17 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS
FLARING CONVECTION AROUND A BROAD LLC. A 071449Z ASCAT PASS
REVEALED 10 TO 15 KNOT WINDS WITH MAX WINDS TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE
CIRCULATION. THE SYSTEM IS SITTING IN A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT WITH
MODERATE UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW AND VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OF 10 TO 20
KNOTS WITH SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF 28 TO 30 DEGREES CELSIUS.
GLOBAL MODELS AGREE ON INTENSIFICATION AND TRACK OF THE SYSTEM WITH
DEVELOPMENT LIKELY IN 36-60 HOURS AS IT TRACKS NORTHWEST INTO THE
BAY OF BENGAL.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15
TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR
1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.
abpwsair (4).jpg 20181107.2331.f17.x.vis1km.90WINVEST.20kts-1006mb-83N-1007E.100pc.jpg

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[LV.7]常住居民III

jrchang5|2018-11-10 11:55 | 顯示全部樓層
JTWC於今(10)日0300Z發布TCFA.
WTIO22 PGTW 100300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.8N 93.2E TO 13.0N 88.9E
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT
IMAGERY AT 100000Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 12.0N 92.4E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08
KNOTS.
2. REMARKS:
THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.9N
101.3E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 93.0E, APPROXIMATELY 750 NM EAST
OF CHENNAI. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS PERSISTENT
DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH BROAD
AREAS OF CONVECTION TO THE SOUTH. A 091926 AMSR2 GW1 89GHZ AND
36GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGES ALSO SHOW DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE LLCC
ALONG WITH LOWER LEVEL BANDING BEGINNING TO FORM. 90W IS IN A
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW, VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR (VWS) OF 5 TO 15 KNOTS, AND SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST) OF
28 TO 30 DEGREES CELSIUS. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT
THAT 90W WILL TRACK WEST AND QUICKLY INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY
110300Z.//
NNNN

661FFDC1-2A28-4984-860D-FA7441723F6C.gif 88FE7608-101E-42DA-A76F-948BCC1E7EEA.jpeg A3E8D210-EC42-4587-838B-C24FC26F9920.jpeg

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[LV.Master]伴壇終老

zjk369|2018-11-10 11:59 | 顯示全部樓層
熱帶氣旋形成警報WTIO22
於10 / 0300Z發布
TCFA文本
WTIO22 PGTW 100300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.8N 93.2E TO 13.0N 88.9E
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT
IMAGERY AT 100000Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 12.0N 92.4E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08
KNOTS.
2. REMARKS:
THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.9N
101.3E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 93.0E, APPROXIMATELY 750 NM EAST
OF CHENNAI. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS PERSISTENT
DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH BROAD
AREAS OF CONVECTION TO THE SOUTH. A 091926 AMSR2 GW1 89GHZ AND
36GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGES ALSO SHOW DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE LLCC
ALONG WITH LOWER LEVEL BANDING BEGINNING TO FORM. 90W IS IN A
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW, VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR (VWS) OF 5 TO 15 KNOTS, AND SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST) OF
28 TO 30 DEGREES CELSIUS. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT
THAT 90W WILL TRACK WEST AND QUICKLY INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY
110300Z.//NNNN
wp9018.gif 90W_100030sair.jpg sector-ir 2018年11月10號08時00分.jpg


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[LV.Master]伴壇終老

t02436|2018-11-11 00:14 | 顯示全部樓層
IMD下午已編BOB 09,晚上升格深低壓,上望SCS。
rsmcnewdelhi.imd.gov.in_images_bulletin_rsmc.png

tcacgraphic.png

90W_gefs_latest.png

LATEST.jpg

rbtop-animated.gif
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[LV.Master]伴壇終老

zjk369|2018-11-11 04:18 | 顯示全部樓層
本帖最後由 zjk369 於 2018-11-11 06:39 編輯

07B SEVEN
As of 18:00 UTC Nov 10, 2018:
Location: 13.1°N 89.4°E
Maximum Winds: 35 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 1006 mb


熱帶氣旋07B(七)警告#01
發佈於10 / 2100Z
TC警告文字
WTIO31 PGTW 102100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/100251NOV2018//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (SEVEN) WARNING NR 001   
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   101800Z --- NEAR 13.1N 89.4E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 13.1N 89.4E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   110600Z --- 13.6N 88.5E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   111800Z --- 14.1N 87.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 04 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   120600Z --- 14.4N 86.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 04 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   121800Z --- 14.5N 86.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   131800Z --- 14.3N 84.3E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
    ---
   96 HRS, VALID AT:
   141800Z --- 13.8N 82.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   120 HRS, VALID AT:
   151800Z --- 13.1N 79.4E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    ---
REMARKS:
102100Z POSITION NEAR 13.2N 89.2E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (SEVEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 569 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF CHITTAGONG, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR)
SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) SHOWS A CONSOLIDATING SYSTEM WITH AN AREA
OF DEEP CONVECTION LOCATED OVER TOP AND OCCLUDING A LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH FAIR
CONFIDENCE BASED ON THE EIR LOOP AND THE PGTW SATELLITE FIX. THE
INITIAL INTENSITY OF 35 KNOTS IS BASED ON THE LOWER END OF DVORAK
ESTIMATES OF T3.0 (45 KTS) FROM KNES AND T2.5 (35 KTS) FROM PGTW DUE
TO THE FORMATIVE NATURE OF THE SYSTEM. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS
INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS IN AN AREA OF LOW TO MODERATE (15-20
KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) AND IS TRACKING THROUGH AN AREA OF
WARM (28-29 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. THE SYSTEM CURRENTLY
HAS A WELL ORGANIZED POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL AND LIMITED
EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B IS CURRENTLY
TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG AN EXTENSION OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
LOCATED TO THE NORTHEAST. THE SYSTEM WILL SLOW OVER THE NEXT 36
HOURS AS IT CONTINUES TO TRACK TO THE NORTHWEST. BETWEEN TAU 36 AND
TAU 48, THE PRIMARY STEERING FEATURE WILL SHIFT TO AN EXTENSION OF A
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED IN THE NORTHERN ARABIAN SEA. ONCE THE
PRIMARY STEERING FEATURE SHIFTS, THE TRACK DIRECTION SHIFTS TO THE
SOUTHWEST AND THE ALONG TRACK SPEED INCREASES. AFTER TAU 48,
GRADUALLY INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL CAUSE THE SYSTEM TO
BEGIN A WEAKENING TREND. TC 07B IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL OVER
SOUTHERN INDIA PRIOR TO TAU 120. THE AVAILABLE NUMERICAL GUIDANCE IS
IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH TRACK DIRECTION HOWEVER, HAVE LARGE
VARIATIONS IN ALONG TRACK SPEED. THE PRIMARY OUTLIER BEING NAVGEM
WITH A SOLUTION THAT HAS THE SYSTEM TRACK MORE NORTHERLY THAN THE
REMAINING CONSENSUS MEMBERS. DUE TO THE LARGE VARIATIONS IN ALONG
TRACK SPEED, THERE IS OVERALL LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC TRACK
FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101800Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 110300Z, 110900Z, 111500Z AND 112100Z.
2. THIS CANCELS AND SUPERSEDES REF A (WTIO21 PGTW 100300).//NNNN


https://pzal.ndbc.noaa.gov/collab/jtwc/products/io0718.tcw
WTIO51 PGTW 102100   
WARNING    ATCG MIL 07B NIO 181110203347
2018111018 07B SEVEN      001  01 290 11 SATL 040
T000 131N 0894E 035 R034 055 NE QD 020 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD
T012 136N 0885E 045 R034 080 NE QD 050 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD
T024 141N 0876E 050 R050 015 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD
T036 144N 0868E 055 R050 015 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 050 NW QD
T048 145N 0860E 060 R050 015 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 050 NW QD
T072 143N 0843E 055 R050 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD
T096 138N 0820E 035 R034 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 060 NW QD
T120 131N 0794E 025
AMP
    096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ:  TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (SEVEN) WARNING NR 001   
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (SEVEN) WARNING NR 001   
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   101800Z --- NEAR 13.1N 89.4E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 13.1N 89.4E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   110600Z --- 13.6N 88.5E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   111800Z --- 14.1N 87.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 04 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   120600Z --- 14.4N 86.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 04 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   121800Z --- 14.5N 86.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   131800Z --- 14.3N 84.3E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
    ---
   96 HRS, VALID AT:
   141800Z --- 13.8N 82.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   120 HRS, VALID AT:
   151800Z --- 13.1N 79.4E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    ---
REMARKS:
102100Z POSITION NEAR 13.2N 89.2E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (SEVEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 569 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF CHITTAGONG, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101800Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 110300Z, 110900Z, 111500Z AND 112100Z.
//
0718110606  78N1047E  15
0718110612  78N1041E  15
0718110618  79N1034E  15
0718110700  80N1027E  15
0718110706  79N1022E  15
0718110712  80N1018E  15
0718110718  78N1014E  20
0718110800  83N1007E  20
0718110806  89N1000E  20
0718110812  98N 993E  20
0718110818 102N 981E  20
0718110900 102N 965E  20
0718110906 106N 955E  25
0718110912 110N 945E  25
0718110918 116N 931E  25
0718111000 120N 924E  25
0718111006 123N 915E  25
0718111012 127N 905E  30
0718111018 131N 894E  35
NNNN


https://pzal.ndbc.noaa.gov/collab/jtwc/products/io0718fix.txt
TPIO10 PGTW 102055
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (W OF ANDAMAN ISLANDS)
B. 10/2030Z
C. 13.18N
D. 88.81E
E. FIVE/HMWRI8
F. T2.5/2.5/D1.0/24HRS  STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 38A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. .40 WRAP ON LOG10 SPIRAL YIELDS
2.5 DT. MET/PT 2.5. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
   DAVIS

io0718 01.gif 07B_101800sair.jpg

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[LV.10]以壇為家III

jwpk9899|2018-11-11 11:49 | 顯示全部樓層
命名GAJA
同時CWB也定為TC

FKIN20 DEMS 110315
TC ADVISORY
TCAC: NEW DELHI
DTG: 20181111/0000Z
TC: GAJA
NR: 3
PSN: N1324 E08918
MOV: WNW05KT
C: 1002HPA
MAX WIND: 35KT
FCST PSN+06HR: 11/0600Z N1336 E08842
FCST MAX WIND+06HR: 40KT
FCST PSN+12HR: 11/1200Z N1348 E08812
FCST MAX WIND+12HR: 40KT
FCST PSN+18HR: 11/1800Z N1400 E08742
FCST MAX WIND+18HR: 45KT
FCST PSN+24HR: 12/0000Z N1412 E08718
FCST MAX WIND+24HR: 45KT
RMK: NIL
NXT MSG: 20181111/0900Z
TOO: 110836 HRS IST



2018-1111-0000_SFCcombo.jpg
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簽到天數: 1945 天

[LV.Master]伴壇終老

t02436|2018-11-13 18:42 | 顯示全部樓層
打轉了一小圈,持續向西移動,兩天後橫越印度,JTWC目前看好在阿拉伯海重新發展。
io072018.20181113074405.gif

tcacgraphic.png

rsmcnewdelh_images_bulletin_rsmc.png

vis-animated.gif
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