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98P

簽到天數: 486 天

[LV.9]以壇為家II

2018-12-5 14:49 | 顯示全部樓層
本帖最後由 霧峰追風者 於 2018-12-11 03:01 編輯

  基本資料  
編號    :98 P
擾動編號日期:2018 12 05 01
撤編日期  :2018 12 00 00
98P.INVEST.15kts-1010mb-6.8S-162.5E

20181205.0610.himawari-8.vis.98P.INVEST.15kts.1010mb.6.8S.162.5E.100pc.jpg

評分

參與人數 1水氣能量 +15 2018擾動搶樓 +1 收起 理由
king111807 + 15 + 1 熱帶擾動首帖

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簽到天數: 256 天

[LV.8]以壇為家I

jrchang5|2018-12-7 11:00 | 顯示全部樓層
JTWC於12061930Z評級Low。
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR
16.5S 162.1E, APPROXIMATELY 365 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF PORT VILA,
VANUATU. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE DEPICTS A FULLY
EXPOSED LLCC. A 061419Z AMSR-2 89GHZ MICROWAVE DEPICTS FLARING
CONVECTION OVER THE SOUTHEAST PORTION OF THE LLCC. UPPER LEVEL
ANALYSIS DEPICTS MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20 KTS) WITH
MODERATELY FAVORABLE OUTFLOW. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE FAVORABLE
(28-30 CELSIUS). GLOBAL MODELS SHOW LIMITED DEVELOPMENT OVER THE
NEXT 48-72 HOURS WITH A SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK, OR POTENTIAL MERGING
WITH THE REMNANTS OF TC 05P TO THE WEST AS BOTH ARE STEERED
SOUTHWESTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20
TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007
MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.

C0A10DEC-8CC8-4753-8CD1-037D7AAB6CE8.jpeg 29B88B15-CB39-4A25-823B-44D8783B5199.gif F0BCB4D6-8843-4E74-BB74-8C0CD89A2DA7.png

點評

因所處環境改善,中心附近有深對流發展,JTWC於12090600Z又再度評級Low。  發表於 2018-12-9 16:22
JTWC已於12080600Z取消評級Low,不再看好未來的發展。 THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.5S 162.4E, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFIC   發表於 2018-12-8 17:20
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