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Information Number 1 on Tropical Low issued by the Vanuatu Meteorology and
Geo-Hazards Department, Port Vila at 1:07pm VUT Monday 11 February 2019.
At 11:00am, a Tropical Low (1000 hPa) was located near 17.1S 160.1E. The
Tropical Low is positioned at the top left corner of square letter A,number 7
(A,7) of the Vanuatu Tropical Cyclone Tracking map. This is about 740 KM
west southwest of Santo. In the past 6 hours, the system was moving east at
18 KM/HR. The potential for the Tropical Low to intensify further and move
towards Vanuatu in the next 24 to 48 hours is moderate to high.
Expected sustained winds close to the center are estimated at 50KM/HR with gusts
up to 80KM/HR. The position of the system in the next 6 hours is expected to be
at 16.8S, 161.3E.
Strong winds of 45 to 55 KM/HR are expected within 330 Kilometers (178 Nautical
miles) within the NE Quadrant.
Date and Time Position Intensity
+06 hours (5pm, 11 Feb) 16.8S, 161.3E 20 KTS (35 KM/HR)
+12 hours (11pm, 11 Feb) 16.5S, 162.2E 25 KTS (45 KM/HR)
+18 hours (5am, 12 Feb) 16.3S, 163.2E 25 KTS (45 KM/HR)
+24 hours (11am, 12 Feb) 16.1S, 163.8E 25 KTS (45 KM/HR)
+36 hours (11pm, 12 Feb) 15.8S, 164.7E 30 KTS (55 KM/HR)
+48 hours (11am, 13 Feb) 15.7S, 165.3E 40 KTS (75 KM/HR)
+60 hours (11pm, 13 Feb) 15.8S, 166.1E 40 KTS (75 KM/HR)
+72 hours (11am, 14 Feb) 16.1S, 166.9E 40 KTS (75 KM/HR)
Heavy rainfalls with flash flooding are expected over low lying areas including
coastal areas and areas close to the river banks about northern and parts of the
central Vanuatu today and tonight. Seas will become rough to very rough with
moderate to heavy swells over northern and central waters. A Severe Weather
Warning for heavy rainfalls and flash flooding is current for northern and central
islands. A Marine Strong Wind Warning is also current for northern and central
The Vanuatu Meteorology and Geo-Hazards Department is closely monitoring the
system and will issue the next information at 12:00am tonight or earlier if the
situation changes. People are advised to listen to Radio Vanuatu for any update
information on this system.
This information bulletin is also available on VMGD's website: www.vmgd.gov.vu.