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99W

簽到天數: 1018 天

[LV.10]以壇為家III

2019-7-16 15:19 | 顯示全部樓層
  基本資料  
編號    :99 W
擾動編號日期:2019 07 16 14
撤編日期  :2019 07 18 23
99W INVEST 190716 0600 8.5N 178.0E WPAC 15 0

20190716.0650.himawari-8.ir.99W.INVEST.15kts.1007mb.8.5N.178E.100pc.jpg



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參與人數 1水氣能量 +15 2020擾動搶樓 +1 收起 理由
king111807 + 15 + 1 熱帶擾動首帖

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簽到天數: 1018 天

[LV.10]以壇為家III

老農民版夜神月|2019-7-17 21:56 | 顯示全部樓層
JTWC評級LOW
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 8.4N171.4E, APPROXIMATELY 215 NM EAST OF KWAJALEIN. ANIMATEDMULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 170408Z 91GHZ SSMIS PARTIALPASS DEPICT FLARING STRAIGHT-LINE CONVECTION WITH A POSSIBLYDEVELOPING, ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION TO THE SOUTH. STRONGDIVERGENCE ALOFT IS OFFSET BY HIGH (30-40KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEARTHAT DECREASES TO THE NORTH. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE FAVORABLYWARM (30-32C) AND WILL SUPPORT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. GLOBALMODELS ARE SPLIT ON DEVELOPMENT POTENTIAL, WITH GFS AND NAVGEMCALLING FOR 99W TO BECOME A WEAK TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON ANORTHWESTWARD TRACK AND OTHERS SHOWING NO DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUMSUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEALEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FORTHE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24HOURS IS LOW.
abpwsair0717.jpg 20190717.1330.himawari-8.ir.99W.INVEST.15kts.1010mb.9N.167.6E.100pc.jpg


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簽到天數: 1018 天

[LV.10]以壇為家III

老農民版夜神月|2019-7-18 18:15 | 顯示全部樓層
本帖最後由 老農民版夜神月 於 2019-7-18 18:27 編輯

JTWC於18/0600Z報中撤評99W
ABPW10 PGTW 180600
(2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 9.0N 167.7E, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

abpwsair0718.jpg 20190718.0920.hm8.x.ir1km_bw.99WINVEST.15kts-1008mb-106N-1652E.100pc.jpg



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