開啟輔助訪問
 找回密碼
 立即加入

97W 發展不如預期

簽到天數: 1052 天

[LV.10]以壇為家III

2019-12-17 14:29 | 顯示全部樓層
本帖最後由 老農民版夜神月 於 2019-12-21 00:03 編輯

  基本資料  
編號    :97 W
擾動編號日期:2019 12 17 13
撤編日期  :2019 12 00 00
97W INVEST 191217 0600 4.0N 138.0E WPAC 15 0

758ba3cc7cd98d103907e05a2e3fb80e7aec9064.jpg

評分

參與人數 1水氣能量 +15 2020擾動搶樓 +1 收起 理由
king111807 + 15 + 1 熱帶擾動首帖

查看全部評分

簽到天數: 1052 天

[LV.10]以壇為家III

老農民版夜神月|2019-12-18 15:01 | 顯示全部樓層
JTWC18/0600Z評級Low
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 4.9N
136.6E, APPROXIMATELY 185 NM SOUTHEAST OF PALAU. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD, LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION PARTIALLY OBSCURED BY CIRRUS OVERCAST. A 180016Z MHS
METOP-A 89 GHZ SHOWS A LACK OF CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION WITH SMALL
POCKETS OF CONVECTION. A 180016Z METOP-A ASCAT PASS SHOWS A WEAKLY
ORGANIZED SURFACE WIND FIELD WITH A SMALL AREA OF 20 TO 25 KNOT
WINDS UNDER CONVECTION. 97W IS CURRENTLY IN A REGION OF MARGINAL
UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW AND FAVORABLE (10 TO 15 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE FAVORABLE AT 29 TO 30 CELSIUS.
GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 97W WILL TRACK GENERALLY
WESTWARD WHILE SLOWLY INTENSIFYING, LIKELY REACHING WARNING
THRESHOLD
NEAR THE PHILIPPINE ISLANDS OR THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
abpwsair1218.jpg 28604.jpg
28602.jpg 28603.jpg
97W_gefs_latest.png
回復

使用道具 舉報

快速回覆
您需要登錄後才可以回帖 登錄 | 立即加入

本版積分規則

本平台僅供學術討論之用,預報應以氣象局為準

威普網站虛擬主機贊助公司

臺灣第一個天氣類型社群平台 即時天氣資訊、精準颱風動態

線上客服
FB傳送訊息
廣告行銷
精準行銷 物超所值
官方粉專
發佈 快速回復 返回頂部 返回列表