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93W 菲東極低緯擾動

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[LV.10]以壇為家III

2020-3-26 09:23 | 顯示全部樓層
本帖最後由 老農民版夜神月 於 2020-3-30 15:03 編輯

  基本資料  
編號    :93 W
擾動編號日期:2020 03 26 08
撤編日期  :2020 03 00 00

93W.INVEST.10kts.1008mb.2.5N.152.8E
20200326.0050.himawari-8.vis.93W.INVEST.10kts.1008mb.2.5N.152.8E.100pc.jpg

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參與人數 1水氣能量 +15 2020擾動搶樓 +1 收起 理由
king111807 + 15 + 1 熱帶擾動首帖

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簽到天數: 954 天

[LV.10]以壇為家III

老農民版夜神月|2020-3-26 15:43 | 顯示全部樓層
JTWC26/0600Z評級Low
ABPW10 PGTW 260600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
/SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/260600Z-270600ZMAR2020//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 2.5N
152.8E, APPROXIMATELY 288 NM SOUTHEAST OF CHUUK. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD, WEAK LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH LIMITED FLARING DEEP CONVECTION OVERHEAD. A
252302Z METOP-B ASCAT PASS REVEAL ELONGATED TROUGHING SURROUNDED BY
5 TO 10 KNOT WINDS. 93W IS CURRENTLY IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH
EXCELLENT POLEWARD OUTFLOW, LOW (5 TO 10 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR,
AND WARM (29 TO 30 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE. GLOBAL MODELS
ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 93W WILL TRACK GENERALLY WESTWARD WITH
MINIMAL INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 5 TO 10 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
abpwsair.jpg 20200326.0710.himawari-8.ircolor.93W.INVEST.10kts.1008mb.3N.151.5E.100pc.jpg
20200326.0641.gpm.composite.93W.INVEST.10kts.1008mb.2.5N.152.8E.060pc.jpg 93W_gefs_latest.png
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[LV.10]以壇為家III

老農民版夜神月|2020-3-29 14:22 | 顯示全部樓層
本帖最後由 老農民版夜神月 於 2020-3-29 20:35 編輯

JTWC於29/0600Z撤評
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 3.0N 145.0E HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

abpwsair.jpg 20200329.1210.himawari-8.ir.93W.INVEST.15kts.1010mb.2N.144E.100pc.jpg
20200329.0913.f17.composite.93W.INVEST.15kts.1010mb.2N.144E.085pc.jpg
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