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95W 菲東擾動 短暫發展

簽到天數: 1257 天

[LV.10]以壇為家III

2020-11-30 13:17 | 顯示全部樓層
  基本資料  
編號               :95 W
擾動編號日期 :2020 11 30 12
撤編日期        :2020 12
02 08
95W.INVEST.15kts-1005mb-14N-130E

20201130.0440.himawari-8.vis.95W.INVEST.15kts.1005mb.14N.130E.100pc.jpg

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參與人數 1水氣能量 +15 2021擾動搶樓 +1 收起 理由
king111807 + 15 + 1 熱帶擾動首帖

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簽到天數: 1257 天

[LV.10]以壇為家III

老農民版夜神月|2020-12-1 00:36 | 顯示全部樓層
西北側風力強勁,但系統結構缺陷也是很明顯
JTWC暫時未給予評級,JMA目前定為LPA(低壓帶)
20201130.1540.himawari-8.ir.95W.INVEST.15kts.1005mb.14N.130E.100pc.jpg LATEST.jpg
20201130.1002.f17.91pct91h91v.95W.INVEST.15kts.1005mb.14N.130E.080pc.jpg 20113021.png
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簽到天數: 1257 天

[LV.10]以壇為家III

老農民版夜神月|2020-12-1 04:23 | 顯示全部樓層
本帖最後由 老農民版夜神月 於 2020-12-1 14:09 編輯

目前的98W如果再持續向西行至菲律賓東方近海時將受到強風切
就看98W能否及時整合,以及前方風切能不能適時的減弱給點喘息空間了 20201130.163000.WP952020.ahi.himawari8.Infrared-Gray.15kts.100p0.1p0.jpg wgmsshr.gif
wgmssht (1).gif 20201130.1630.himawari8.x.wv1km.95WINVEST.15kts-1006mb-129N-1278E.100pc.jpg
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[LV.10]以壇為家III

老農民版夜神月|2020-12-1 14:11 | 顯示全部樓層
JTWC評級Low
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR
11.7N 126.3E, APPROXIMATELY 360 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MANILA,
PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A
010438Z AMSR2 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT LOW LEVEL CLOUD LINES
WRAPPING INTO A CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. THIS
DISTURBANCE HAS FORMED ADJACENT TO A NORTHEAST SURGE EVENT.
ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS MODERATE (15-20KTS) VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR, GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW, AND WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 95W
WILL SLOWLY TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS WITH LITTLE INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
abpwsair - 2020-12-01T141029.665.jpg 20201201.0530.himawari-8.vis.95W.INVEST.15kts.1006mb.11.7N.126.3E.100pc.jpg
20201201.0438.gw1.89pct89h89v.95W.INVEST.15kts.1006mb.12.4N.126.5E.69pc.jpg 20201201.0438.gw1.89hbt.95W.INVEST.15kts.1006mb.12.4N.126.5E.69pc.jpg
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[LV.10]以壇為家III

老農民版夜神月|2020-12-2 14:13 | 顯示全部樓層
JTWC於0600Z取消評級
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 12.5N 125.9E HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
abpwsair (14).jpg 20201202.0540.himawari-8.vis.95W.INVEST.15kts.1004mb.12.5N.125.9E.100pc.jpg
20201202.0521.gw1.89pct89h89v.95W.INVEST.15kts.1004mb.12.5N.125.9E.67pc.jpg
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