The forecast path shown above is the Bureau's best estimate of the cyclone's future movement and intensity. There is always some uncertainty associated with tropical cyclone forecasting and the grey zone indicates the range of likely tracks of the cyclone centre.
Due to the uncertainty in the future movement, the indicated winds will almost certainly extend to regions outside the rings on this map. The extent of the warning and watch zones reflects this.
This product is designed for land-based communities; mariners should read the coastal waters and high seas warnings.
Kimi intensifies to category 2 as it moves south. Cyclone Watch declared to Bowen.
Warning zone: Innisfail to Ayr, inluding Lucinda, Palm Island and Townsville.
Watch zone: Ayr to Bowen.
Cancelled zones: Port Douglas to Innisfail.
Details of Tropical Cyclone Kimi at 1:00 pm AEST:
Intensity: category 2, sustained winds near the centre of 95 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 130 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 20 kilometres of 17.5 degrees South, 146.8 degrees East , 130 kilometres east southeast of Cairns and 195 kilometres north of Townsville .
Movement: south southeast at 15 kilometres per hour .
Tropical cyclone Kimi has intensified to a category 2 cyclone. It is currently moving south-southeast and is likely to continue this movement through tonight, but is now expected to slow and stall off the coast between Hinchinbook Island and Townsville on Tuesday while beginning to weaken.
However, considerable uncertainty remains with the future movement of the system, and a category 2 coastal crossing between Hinchinbrook Island and Townsville tonight or on Tuesday REMAINS POSSIBLE.
DESTRUCTIVE WINDS with gusts to 150 km/h may develop about coastal and island areas between Hinchinbrook Island and Ayr overnight tonight or on Tuesday, depending on the movement of the cyclone.
GALES with gusts to 120km/h are likely about coastal and island communities between Innisfail and Ayr tonight and Tuesday. Gales may also extend southwards to Bowen later on Tuesday depending on the movement of the cyclone.
HEAVY RAINFALL with the potential to produce flash flooding and major river flooding expected to affect coastal and adjacent inland areas between Innisfail and Bowen tonight and on Tuesday. A Flood Watch is current for this area; refer to that product for more detail.
ABNORMALLY HIGH TIDES are likely today as Tuesday as the cyclone gets closer to the coast, however the sea level should not exceed the highest tide of the year. Large waves are likely along the beachfront.
People between Innisfail and Ayr, including Lucinda, Palm Island and Townsville should immediately commence or continue preparations, especially securing boats and property.
People between Ayr and Bowen should consider what action they will need to take if the cyclone threat increases.
- For cyclone preparedness and safety advice, visit Queensland's Disaster Management Services website (www.disaster.qld.gov.au)
- If you choose to take shelter away from your home, stay COVID-19 safe and pack a mask and hand sanitiser (if you have them).
- For emergency assistance call the Queensland State Emergency Service (SES) on 132 500 (for assistance with storm damage, rising flood water, fallen trees on buildings or roof damage).