dom

底層優秀, 風眼清空
JTWC12Z分析T6.0

TPXS11 PGTW 051222
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (HABANA)
B. 05/1145Z
C. 16.24S
D. 76.34E
E. THREE/MET8
F. T6.0/6.0/D4.0/24HRS STT: D0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 11A/PBO RAGGED EYE/ANMTN. WMG EYE SURROUNDED BY B
YIELDS AN E# OF 5.5. ADDED 1.0 EYE ADJUSTMENT FOR B, TO YIELD A
DT OF 6.5. MET IS 5.0. PT IS 6.0. DBO PT. CONSTRAINTS BKN DUE
TO RAPID INTENSIFICATION.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
05/0630Z 16.43S 75.52E GPMI
MARTIN

dom

MFR12Z升格強烈熱帶氣旋，定強100KT

FKIO20 FMEE 051219
TC ADVISORY
DTG: 20210305/1219Z
TCAC: REUNION
TC: HABANA
ADVISORY NR: 2021/05
OBS PSN: 05/1200Z S1616 E07624
CB: WI 250NM OF TC CENTRE TOP FL515
MOV: E 09KT
INTST CHANGE: INTSF
C: 967HPA
MAX WIND: 100KT
FCST PSN +6 HR: 05/1800Z S1611 E07648
FCST MAX WIND +6 HR: 105KT
FCST PSN +12 HR: 06/0000Z S1606 E07713
FCST MAX WIND +12 HR: 110KT
FCST PSN +18 HR: 06/0600Z S1601 E07742
FCST MAX WIND +18 HR: 105KT
FCST PSN +24 HR: 06/1200Z S1558 E07812
FCST MAX WIND +24 HR: 100KT
RMK: NIL.
NXT MSG: 20210305/1800Z=

dom

JTWC12Z升格C4

24S HABANA 210305 1200 16.3S 76.3E SHEM 115 948

dom

W+WMG快要合格
如果時機配合，Habana順利增強而且Niran能捱到18Z的話
或有機會看到雙C5共舞

Center Temp : +12.9C    Cloud Region Temp : -73.1C

dom

環流小巧，JTWC15Z分析T6.5

TPXS11 PGTW 051447
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (HABANA)
B. 05/1415Z
C. 16.19S
D. 76.67E
E. THREE/MET8
F. T6.5/6.5/D3.5/24HRS STT: D0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 09A/PBO RAGGED EYE/ANMTN. WMG EYE SURROUNDED BY W
YIELDS AN E# OF 6.0. ADDED 1.0 EYE ADJUSTMENT FOR W, TO YIELD A
DT OF 7.0. MET IS 5.5. PT IS 6.5. DBO PT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
05/1103Z 16.25S 76.22E SSMS
05/1136Z 16.22S 76.32E SSMS
MARTIN

老農民版夜神月

MFR18Z再上調定強至110節,並上望+12H115節

FKIO20 FMEE 051809
TC ADVISORY
DTG: 20210305/1809Z
TCAC: REUNION
TC: HABANA
ADVISORY NR: 2021/06
OBS PSN: 05/1800Z S1604 E07701
CB: WI 80NM OF TC CENTRE TOP FL540
MOV: E 07KT
INTST CHANGE: INTSF
C: 940HPA
MAX WIND: 110KT
FCST PSN +6 HR: 06/0000Z S1608 E07730
FCST MAX WIND +6 HR: 113KT
FCST PSN +12 HR: 06/0600Z S1613 E07757
FCST MAX WIND +12 HR: 115KT
FCST PSN +18 HR: 06/1200Z S1620 E07822
FCST MAX WIND +18 HR: 110KT
FCST PSN +24 HR: 06/1800Z S1628 E07846
FCST MAX WIND +24 HR: 105KT
RMK: NIL.
NXT MSG: 20210306/0000Z=

老農民版夜神月

JTWC18Z分析CI值維持於6.5,FT略降為6.0

TPXS11 PGTW 051813

A. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (HABANA)

B. 05/1730Z

C. 16.04S

D. 77.00E

E. ONE/MET8

F. T6.0/6.5/D3.0/24HRS STT: W0.5/03HRS

G. IR/EIR

H. REMARKS: 05A/PBO IRREG EYE/ANMTN. OW EYE SURROUNDED BY B YIELDS
AN E# OF 5.5. ADDED 0.5 EYE ADJUSTMENT FOR B, TO YIELD A DT OF 6.0.
MET YEILDS 5.0 WHILE PT YEILDS 6.0. DBO DT.

I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE


YOUNG

老農民版夜神月

JTWC18Z定強略為調升至120KT,中心氣壓945(報文)或933(下圖1)百帕

24S HABANA 210305 1800 16.1S 77.1E SHEM 120 945