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92P 斐濟南方擾動

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2021-3-6 01:48 | 顯示全部樓層
  基本資料  
編號               :92 P
擾動編號日期 :2021 03 06 01
撤編日期        :2021 03 06 21
92P.INVEST.15kts.989mb.24S.175E

20210305.1730.goes-17.ir.92P.INVEST.15kts.989mb.24S.175E.100pc.jpg


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參與人數 1水氣能量 +15 2021擾動搶樓 +1 收起 理由
king111807 + 15 + 1 熱帶擾動首帖

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簽到天數: 1334 天

[LV.10]以壇為家III

老農民版夜神月|2021-3-6 01:55 | 顯示全部樓層
FMS編號11F
Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Mar 050941 UTC.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 11F [1001HPA] WAS ANALYSED NEAR 23.4S 172.5E AT
050655UTC. TD011F SLOW MOVING. POSITION POOR BASED ON HIMAWARI-8 EIR
IMAGERY AND PERIPHERAL SURFACE REPORTS.

CONVECTION REMAINS PERSISTENT OVER SUPPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTRE [LLCC] IN THE LAST 24 HOURS AND ORGANISATION REMAINS POOR WITH
SLIGHT IMPROVEMENT IN THE PAST 6 HOURS. TD11F LIES UNDER AN UPPER
RIDGE IN A LOW TO MODERATE SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
EXTENDS UPTO 700HPA. SST AROUND 30 DEGREES CELSIUS.

GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED UP THE SYSTEM AND MOVE IT SOUTHEASTWARDS
WITH SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION.

THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN
THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS IS LOW TO MODERATE.
SHGMSCOL (5).jpeg 20210305.1603.f18.91h.92P.INVEST.15kts.989mb.24S.175E.055pc.jpg
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簽到天數: 1334 天

[LV.10]以壇為家III

老農民版夜神月|2021-3-6 03:46 | 顯示全部樓層
本帖最後由 老農民版夜神月 於 2021-3-6 08:24 編輯

JTWC18Z一舉將定強提升至30KT,另外SSD對其分析T1.0
92P INVEST 210305 1800 25.2S 177.4E SHEM 30 1000
TXPS22 KNES 051837
TCSWSP
A.  TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (92P)
B.  05/1730Z
C.  24.8S
D.  177.6E
E.  FIVE/HIMAWARI-8
F.  T1.0/1.0
G.  IR/EIR/SWIR
H.  REMARKS...THIS INTENSITY ESTIMATE WAS DERIVED USING 4 KM IR
DATA. GREATER THAN 2/10 BANDING YIELDS A DT=1.0. THE MET AND PT AGREE. FT
IS BASED ON DT.
I.  ADDL POSITIONS
    NIL
...SANDUSKY
20210306.0000.goes-17.ir.92P.INVEST.30kts.1000mb.25.2S.177.4E.100pc.jpg
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