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95L

簽到天數: 1650 天

[LV.Master]伴壇終老

2021-10-30 21:25 | 顯示全部樓層
  基本資料  
編號               :95 L
擾動編號日期 :2021 10 30 21
撤編日期        :2021 11
02 08
95L.INVEST.25kts.1008mb.9.2N.23.8W

20211030.1230.msg-1.ir.95L.INVEST.25kts.1008mb.9.2N.23.8W.100pc.jpg

NHC:10%
2. An area of disturbed weather in the eastern tropical Atlantic is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms several hundred
miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands.  Some gradual development of
this system is possible over the next couple of days or so as the
disturbance moves generally northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.  By the
middle of next week, the system is forecast to move northward over
cooler waters and further development is not expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

two_atl_2d2 (23).png two_atl_5d2 (22).png

評分

參與人數 1水氣能量 +15 +1 收起 理由
t02436 + 15 + 1

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[LV.Master]伴壇終老

老農民版夜神月|2021-10-31 02:21 | 顯示全部樓層
NHC展望提升至30%/30% two_atl_2d2 (24).png two_atl_5d2 (23).png 95L_gefs_latest (7).png

[quote]2. A broad area of low pressure over the eastern tropical Atlantic is
located several hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands.  The
associated shower and thunderstorm activity is showing signs of
organization, and environmental conditions could support some
development of this system during the next couple of days while it
moves generally northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.  Upper-level winds
are forecast to become increasingly unfavorable for further
development by the middle of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.[/quote
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[LV.Master]伴壇終老

老農民版夜神月|2021-11-1 01:44 | 顯示全部樓層
31/18Z,NHC展望維持30%/30%
1. A broad area of low pressure located over the tropical eastern
Atlantic a few hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde
Islands continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers
and thunderstorms. Slow development of this disturbance is possible
during the next day or so before it moves into a region of strong
upper-level winds.  This system is expected to move
west-northwestward to northwestward at 10 to 15 mph during the
next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

two_atl_2d1 (54).png two_atl_5d1 (55).png
20211031.1109.mtb.ASCAT.wind.95L.INVEST.25kts-1008mb.115N.288W.25km.noqc.jpg 20211031.1201.mtc.ASCAT.wind.95L.INVEST.25kts-1008mb.115N.288W.25km.noqc.jpg
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[LV.Master]伴壇終老

老農民版夜神月|2021-11-1 22:08 | 顯示全部樓層
NHC展望降至10%/10%
1. A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles
west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce
disorganized shower activity.  This system is moving northwestward
into a region of less conducive upper-level winds, and the chances
of tropical cyclone development are decreasing.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.
two_atl_2d1 (55).png two_atl_5d1 (56).png
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[LV.Master]伴壇終老

老農民版夜神月|2021-11-2 03:59 | 顯示全部樓層
展望維持10%/10%
1. A small low pressure system located several hundred miles west of
the Cabo Verde Islands has become better defined today. However,
associated shower activity is limited, and the system is expected to
continue moving northwestward into a region of less conducive
upper-level winds, which will limit the chance for tropical cyclone
formation.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

two_atl_2d1 (1).png two_atl_5d1 (2).png 20211101.1900.msg-4.ir.95L.INVEST.25kts.1010mb.14.3N.33.3W.100pc.jpg
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[LV.Master]伴壇終老

老農民版夜神月|2021-11-2 04:35 | 顯示全部樓層
本帖最後由 老農民版夜神月 於 2021-11-2 04:45 編輯

數值已幾乎不看好其將有所發展
95L_gefs_latest.png 95L_intensity_latest.png 20211101.1940.goes-16.ir.95L.INVEST.25kts.1010mb.14.3N.33.3W.100pc.jpg

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[LV.Master]伴壇終老

老農民版夜神月|2021-11-2 13:45 | 顯示全部樓層
NHC展望不再提到此系統
20211102.0440.goes-16.ir.95L.INVEST.30kts.1010mb.15.2N.33.9W.100pc.jpg 20211101.2218.mta.ASCAT.wind.95L.INVEST.30kts-1010mb.152N.339W.25km.noqc.jpg
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