開啟輔助訪問
 找回密碼
 立即加入

18E(13L).Julia 進入東太

簽到天數: 2087 天

[LV.Master]伴壇終老

2022-10-6 08:17 | 顯示全部樓層
本帖最後由 周子堯@FB 於 2022-10-10 13:16 編輯

基本資料  
編號    :13 L
擾動編號日期:2022 10 03 03
撤編日期  :2022 10 00 00

91L INVEST 221002 1800 9.5N 47.5W ATL 25 1012
032223k69pe3zkqqcic669.jpg
NHC:20%
2. Central Tropical Atlantic:
Disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity continues in
association with a tropical wave located several hundred miles east
of the Windward Islands.  Some gradual development of the wave is
possible during the next few days while it moves generally westward
at 15 to 20 mph, reaching the Windward Islands and the eastern
Caribbean Sea by midweek.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

032344lct9z9wcccw93rc5.png

評分

參與人數 1水氣能量 +15 +1 收起 理由
t02436 + 15 + 1

查看全部評分

回復

使用道具 舉報

簽到天數: 2087 天

[LV.Master]伴壇終老

周子堯@FB|2022-10-6 08:21 | 顯示全部樓層
NHC評級High

1. Eastern Caribbean Sea:
An area of low pressure located over the far southeastern Caribbean
Sea is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms over the
southern Windward Islands, northern South America, and adjacent
waters. While surface observations do suggest broad rotation
and pressures are lower than 24 hours ago, there currently is no
definitive proof that a well-defined circulation exists. While land
interaction with the northern coast of South America may hinder
significant development during the next day or so, environmental
conditions are expected to be generally favorable for development as
the system moves westward, and a tropical depression is likely to
form in the next couple of days by the time the system enters the
south-central Caribbean Sea.

Regardless of development, heavy rainfall with localized flooding,
as well as gusty winds to gale force, are expected over portions of
the Windward Islands, northern portions of South America, and the
ABC Islands during the next day or two.  Interests in those
locations, in addition to those in Central America, should continue
to monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
two_atl_2d1.png
20221005.2340.goes-16.ir.91L.INVEST.30kts.1006mb.11.4N.62.8W.100pc.jpg
natl.png
回復

使用道具 舉報

快速回覆
您需要登錄後才可以回帖 登錄 | 立即加入

本版積分規則

本平台僅供學術討論之用,預報應以氣象局為準

威普網站虛擬主機贊助公司

臺灣第一個天氣類型社群平台 即時天氣資訊、精準颱風動態

線上客服
FB傳送訊息
廣告行銷
精準行銷 物超所值
官方粉專
發佈 快速回復 返回頂部 返回列表