LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 23N 145E ALMOST STATIONARY.
JTWC評級Low
(2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR
25.3N 144.8E, APPROXIMATELY 190 NM EAST OF IWO TO, JAPAN. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS DISORGANIZED CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AND ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC). A 282337Z ASCAT BULLSEYE FURTHER ILLUSTRATES THE ELONGATED
LLCC WITH 5 TO 10 KNOT CORE WINDS SURROUNDED BY STRONGER 15 TO 20
KNOT WINDS APPROXIMATELY 120NM TO THE SOUTH AND EAST. THE AREA SITS
BENEATH AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IN AN AREA OF MODERATE 15 TO 20 KNOT
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF THE UPPER LEVEL LOW AND
THE STRONGEST WINDS FOUND OVER 100NM AWAY FROM THE CENTER, THIS
DISTURBANCE IS ASSESSED AS SUB-TROPICAL. GLOBAL MODELS DO NOT SHOW
CONSOLIDATION INTO A TROPICAL SYSTEM AT THIS TIME AS IT TRACKS NORTH-
NORTHWESTWARD TOWARDS MAINLAND JAPAN. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
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