命名Linda

Intensity: category 1, sustained winds near the centre of 65 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 95 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 75 kilometres of 19.3 degrees South, 159.5 degrees East , 880 kilometres northeast of Sandy Cape and 1100 kilometres east of Mackay .
Movement: south southwest at 32 kilometres per hour .

Tropical cyclone Linda, a category 1 cyclone, has formed in the Coral Sea. Tropical cyclone Linda is expected to continue to move southwest towards the Queensland coast for the next 24 hours, before turning south and ultimately southeast away from the coast again.

On Wednesday, conditions will become unfavourable for tropical cyclone Linda, and it is expected to transition into an intense subtropical low.
At its closest approach to the coast, the remains of tropical cyclone Linda will generate large waves and dangerous surf conditions about exposed southern Queensland beaches. Tides are also expected to be higher than normal, particularly on Thursday morning's high tide. A severe weather warning is current for these conditions.

WTPS31 PGTW 121500MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/120251ZMAR2018//AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//RMKS/1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P (THIRTEEN) WARNING NR 001       01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY    ---   WARNING POSITION:   121200Z --- NEAR 15.7S 159.9E     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 12 KTS     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT                            135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT                            125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT                            100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT   REPEAT POSIT: 15.7S 159.9E    ---   FORECASTS:   12 HRS, VALID AT:   130000Z --- 18.3S 159.1E   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT                            210 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT                            200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT                            070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 12 KTS    ---   24 HRS, VALID AT:   131200Z --- 20.3S 157.8E   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT                            080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT                            025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT                            240 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT                            195 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT                            120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 09 KTS    ---   36 HRS, VALID AT:   140000Z --- 21.5S 156.4E   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT                            045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT                            200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT                            160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT                            090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 08 KTS    ---   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:   48 HRS, VALID AT:   141200Z --- 22.9S 155.6E   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT                            165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT                            150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT                            090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 07 KTS    ---   72 HRS, VALID AT:   151200Z --- 25.8S 156.2E   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT                            165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT                            150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT                            090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT   VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 11 KTS    ---   LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:    ---   96 HRS, VALID AT:   161200Z --- 29.0S 159.8E   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER    ---REMARKS:121500Z POSITION NEAR 16.3S 159.7E.TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 13P (THIRTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 497 NMWEST-NORTHWEST OF PORT VILA, VANUATU, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 12KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED EIR SHOWS THE SYSTEM HASRAPIDLY CONSOLIDATED AS FRAGMENTED BANDS - MOSTLY EMANATING FROM THENORTH - COALESCED AND WRAPPED TIGHTER INTO THE LLCC. THE INITIALPOSITION IS EXTRAPOLATED FROM THE EIR LOOP AND LINED UP WITH A LOWREFLECTIVITY CIRCULATION FEATURE IN THE 121054Z AMSU-B MICROWAVE PASSWITH FAIR CONFIDENCE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS BASED ON CONGRUENTDVORAK ESTIMATES OF T2.5 (35 KNOTS) FROM PGTW AND PHFO. THE CYCLONEIS TRACKING ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A BUILDING STR TO THESOUTHEAST. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS IN AN AREA OFLOW TO MODERATE (10-15 KNOT) VWS THAT IS OFFSET BY STRONG DUALOUTFLOW. ADDITIONALLY, SSTS IN THE AREA ARE VERY CONDUCIVE AT 30C TO31C. AS THE STR CONTINUES TO BUILD, TC 13P WILL TRACK MORESOUTHWESTWARD AFTER TAU 12. AFTER TAU 48, THE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TOROUND THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE STR AND TRACK SOUTHWARD THEN RECURVESOUTHEASTWARD. DESPITE THE UPPER LEVEL WINDS BEING IN-PHASE WITH THESTORM MOTION, THE VWS IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE AS THE SYSTEM MOVESPOLEWARD. HOWEVER, THE AFOREMENTIONED FAVORABLE CONDITIONS WILLPREVAIL AND PROMOTE MODERATE INTENSIFICATION UP TO 50 KNOTS AT TAU24-36. AFTERWARD, AS THE SYSTEM ROUNDS THE STR, STRONG VWS ANDCOOLING SSTS WILL TAKE THEIR TOLL AND ERODE THE SYSTEM. BY TAU 96, TC13P WILL DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER.MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121200Z IS 11 FEET. NEXT WARNINGSAT 122100Z, 130300Z, 130900Z AND 131500Z. THIS CANCELS AND SUPERSEDES REF A (WTPS21 PGTW 120300).//NNNN

TPPS11 PGTW 120953
A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 90P (S OF SOLOMAN ISLANDS)
B. 12/0900Z
C. 15.28S
D. 160.05E
E. FIVE/HMWRI8
F. T2.0/2.0  STT: D0.5/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 38A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS .35 ON LOG10 SPIRAL
YIELDING A DT OF 2.0. MET ALSO YIELDS 2.0. PT YIELDS 2.5. DBO
DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
   12/0359Z  13.98S  159.82E  SSMI
   12/0459Z  14.42S  159.90E  SSMS
   12/0515Z  14.70S  160.02E  MMHS
   VEERKAMP

JTWC 0230Z直接評級TC