95W 曾與94W於南海西部互動 減弱消散

dom 發表於 2020-10-17 21:16

JTWC撤評

(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 14.6N 109.8E HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

老農民版夜神月 發表於 2020-10-16 13:15

本帖最後由老農民版夜神月於 2020-10-16 13:37 編輯

周子堯@FB 發表於 2020-10-16 12:53
兩者應為不同系統!JMA判斷TD之系統應該還是原為94W，CWB亦同!
如圖 : 南北各一渦旋、且95W亦無94W過去路徑 ...

剛特別從資料庫裡翻出JTWC95W的官方報文

WP, 95, 2020101512, , BEST, 0, 124N, 1096E,  15, 1006, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0,    INVEST,  ,
WP, 95, 2020101518, , BEST, 0, 127N, 1108E,  15, 1005, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0,    INVEST,  ,
WP, 95, 2020101600, , BEST, 0, 130N, 1120E,  15, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0,    INVEST,  ,

後再對比94W的報文

WP, 94, 2020101512, , BEST, 0, 152N, 1170E,  20, 1005, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1008,  185,  30, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0,    INVEST, S,
WP, 94, 2020101518, , BEST, 0, 157N, 1151E,  20, 1004, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1006,  230,  25, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0,    INVEST, S,
WP, 94, 2020101600, , BEST, 0, 162N, 1124E,  20, 1004, DB,  34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1006,  230,  25, 0, 0, W, 0, , 0, 0,    INVEST, S,

經查證
兩者無論從定位與定強看都完全不同，因此可以確定並非同一個系統。
基於上述理由，95W確是JTWC編的新系統，並非原本之94W
周子堯@FB所說的基本無誤