撤编,有作蝎虎儿子的趋势,正被并吞中 |
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1100 PM PDT SUN JUN 23 2013 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E...LOCATED ABOUT 440 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. 1. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...LOCATED ABOUT 830 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO...CONTINUES TO PRODUCE DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LOW IS NOT EXPECTED DUE TO ITS PROXIMITY TO THE LARGE CIRCULATION OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E TO THE EAST...AND ALSO DUE TO UNFAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS CREATED BY THE DEPRESSION. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS WHILE IT MOVES TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR EAST AT 5 TO 10 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. && PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON THREE-E ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ33 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPEP3. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON THREE-E ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ23 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP3. $$ FORECASTER STEWART NNNN |
TXPZ25 KNES 230019 TCSENP A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (95E) B. 23/0000Z C. 15.1N D. 114.4W E. FIVE/GOES-W F. T1.0/1.0/D1.0/24HRS G. IR/EIR/VIS H. REMARKS...CIRCULATION OF 95E IS WELL DEFINED AND SYMMETRIC HOWEVER CONVECTION IS VERY SHALLOW AND WARM BARELY REACHING LG WITH LIMITED BANDING THOUGH SIMILAR TO AN IRREGULAR CDO PATTERN BUT NOT QUITE...AS SUCH BANDING IS LESS THAN .2 FOR DT LESS THAN 1.0. MET IS 1.0. SYSTEM HAS GOOD PATTERN AND AS SUCH PT IS 1.0. FT IS BASED ON MET. I. ADDL POSITIONS NIL ...GALLINA |
2. AN ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS. SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LOW IS POSSIBLE WHILE IT MOVES TO THE NORTHWEST OR NORTH AT 5 TO 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. |