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98S 對流稀少 JTWC取消評價

查看數: 14584 評論數: 2 收藏 1切换到帖子模式
    組圖打開中,請稍候......
發佈時間: 2013-11-10 17:12

正文摘要:

  基本資料          編號    :98 S     擾動編號日期:2013 年 11 月 10 日 17 時  消散日期  :2013 年 11 月 15 日 08 時  登陸地點  :無 98S.IN ...

jwpk9899 發表於 2013-11-13 05:20
好像MEDIUM 1~2添了  都沒人理呀...
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.3S 93.7E,
IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.5S 93.2E, APPROXIMATELY 306 NM SOUTHEAST OF
COCOS ISLAND. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A
CONSOLIDATING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH CURVED DEEP
CONVECTIVE BANDING, PRIMARILY OVER THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE. A
121529Z MICROWAVE IMAGE INDICATES IMPROVED STRUCTURE WITH DEEP
CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT OF THE
LLCC WITH WEAK BANDING OVER THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. UPPER-LEVEL
ANALYSIS SHOWS A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT WITH WEAK TO MODERATE (10 TO
20 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OFFSET BY STRONG DIFFLUENCE ALOFT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.
Sammy 發表於 2013-11-11 21:56
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