霧峰追風者

FMS 編號11F

Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Mar 210855 UTC.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE TD11F CENTRE {[1001HPA]} WAS ANALYSED NEAR 9.6S
AND 161.8E AT 210600UTC SLOW MOVING. POSITION BASED ON HIMAWARI-8 IR
IMAGERY AND PERIPHERAL OBSERVATIONS. SST AROUND 30 DEGREES CELSIUS.

DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS PERSISTENT ABOUT THE NORTH AND EAST OF
SUPPOSED LLCC. ORGANISATION REMAINS POOR. CYCLONIC CIRCULATIONS
EXTENDS UP TO 500HPA. SYSTEM LIES UNDER AN UPPER RIDGE IN A LOW
SHEARED ENVIRONMENT.

GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED UP THE SYSTEM AND GRADUALLY MOVE IT
SOUTHWARDS WITH FURTHER INTENSIFICATION.

POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE
NEXT 48 HOURS IS MODERATE.