(2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR
15.9N 133.1E, APPROXIMATELY 657 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB,
OKINAWA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A
CONSOLIDATING SYSTEM WITH FORMATIVE BANDING PERSISTING OVER THE
SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE. A 151254Z AMSU 89GHZ IMAGE DEPICTS FRAGMENTED
CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO A BROAD BUT DEFINED LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 151211Z ASCAT AMBIGUITY ANALYSIS
INDICATES A WEAK, DEVELOPING CIRCULATION EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MONSOON
TROUGH WITH 15 TO 25 KNOT WESTERLIES. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS A
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH A POINT SOURCE OVER THE LLCC AND
IMPROVING POLEWARD OUTFLOW INTO THE TUTT POSITIONED TO THE
NORTHEAST. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OVER THE
NEXT TWO DAYS AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO
NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE TAIWAN / RYUKYU ISLANDS REGION. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS MEDIUM.
(2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 9.7N 132.9E, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.