(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 7.5N 135.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.7N 132.8E, APPROXIMATELY 114
NM SOUTHWEST OF PALAU. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND
A 082125Z SSMIS 91GHZ IMAGE DEPICT AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
WITH FLARING CONVECTION DISPLACED TO THE SOUTHEAST. INVEST 95W IS IN
A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW (<15 KTS)
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT AND WARM (28-
30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT
INVEST 95W WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK WESTWARD BEFORE TURNING
NORTHWESTWARD AND INTENSIFYING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO
MEDIUM.
