老農民版夜神月

  基本資料  
編號               ：95 W
擾動編號日期 ：2020 年 11 月 30 日 12 時
撤編日期        ：2020 年 12 月 02 日 08 時
95W.INVEST.15kts-1005mb-14N-130E

老農民版夜神月

JTWC於0600Z取消評級

(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 12.5N 125.9E HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

老農民版夜神月

JTWC評級Low

(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR
11.7N 126.3E, APPROXIMATELY 360 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MANILA,
PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A
010438Z AMSR2 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT LOW LEVEL CLOUD LINES
WRAPPING INTO A CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. THIS
DISTURBANCE HAS FORMED ADJACENT TO A NORTHEAST SURGE EVENT.
ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS MODERATE (15-20KTS) VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR, GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW, AND WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 95W
WILL SLOWLY TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS WITH LITTLE INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.

老農民版夜神月

目前的98W如果再持續向西行至菲律賓東方近海時將受到強風切
就看98W能否及時整合,以及前方風切能不能適時的減弱給點喘息空間了

老農民版夜神月

西北側風力強勁,但系統結構缺陷也是很明顯
JTWC暫時未給予評級,JMA目前定為LPA(低壓帶)