開啟輔助訪問
 找回密碼
 立即加入

13S 登陸馬達加斯加 無緣命名

簽到天數: 1650 天

[LV.Master]伴壇終老

老農民版夜神月|2021-1-20 02:50 | 顯示全部樓層
JTWC評級Low
(2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR
12.0S 109.0E, APPROXIMATELY 380 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF JAKARTA,
INDIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 191715Z
GMI 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT LOWER LEVEL BANDING WITH CONVECTION
OBSCURING THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ENVIRONMENTAL
ANALYSIS DEPICTS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW
(<15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, POLEWARD OUTFLOW, AND WARM (30-31C).
GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 93S WILL TRACK
WESTWARD AS IT CONSOLIDATES AND STRENGTHENS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
20210119.1810.himawari-8.ir.93S.INVEST.20kts.1006mb.13.4S.104.5E.100pc.jpg 20210119.180000.ASCAT.mta.r73952.wrave3.93S.INVEST.gif
93S_tracks_latest.png 93S_gefs_latest.png
回復

使用道具 舉報

簽到天數: 483 天

[LV.9]以壇為家II

dom|2021-1-19 22:01 | 顯示全部樓層
BoM編號10U
A tropical low (10U) was located about 260 kilometres southeast of Christmas Island at 1300 WST Tuesday 19 January. It is forecast to continue moving generally west. Guidance generally indicates an unfavourable environment which means there is only a Low risk of 10U reaching tropical cyclone intensity from Thursday.
Although there is currently only a Very Low risk of 10U being a tropical cyclone on Wednesday the Cocos (Keeling) Islands could experience heavy rainfall and squally strong winds as the low moves past during Wednesday and early Thursday. There is also the potential for a north to northwesterly swell impacting Flying Fish cove on Christmas Island over the next week as a result of persistent northwesterly winds between the islands and Indonesia.

Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:
Wednesday:Very Low
Thursday: Low
Friday: Low

sio.png
回復

使用道具 舉報

123
快速回覆
您需要登錄後才可以回帖 登錄 | 立即加入

本版積分規則

本平台僅供學術討論之用,預報應以氣象局為準

威普網站虛擬主機贊助公司

臺灣第一個天氣類型社群平台 即時天氣資訊、精準颱風動態

線上客服
FB傳送訊息
廣告行銷
精準行銷 物超所值
官方粉專
發佈 快速回復 返回頂部 返回列表