1. Satellite imagery indicates that shower activity associated with an
area of low pressure located about 900 miles southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is gradually becoming
better organized. Environmental conditions are expected to
gradually become more favorable for development during the next
couple of days, and a tropical depression is likely to form by this
weekend while the system moves generally westward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
1. Satellite imagery indicates that an area of low pressure located
about 900 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula continues to produce some showers and thunderstorms,
mainly to the east and southeast of its center. Environmental
conditions are expected to gradually become more favorable for
development during the next couple of days, and a tropical
depression is likely to form by this weekend while the system moves
generally westward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
1. A low-pressure system located over 850 miles south-southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce
disorganized showers and thunderstorms near and to the southeast of
its center. This activity has recently become a little more
concentrated closer to the center, and environmental conditions
appear marginally conducive for additional development. A tropical
depression could form later this week as the system moves generally
westward at around 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
