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JTWC Low
AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR
26.5N 125.2E, APPROXIMATELY 137 NM WEST OF KADENA AB. ANIMATED EIR
DEPICTS A BROAD AND ILL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH FLARING
CONVECTION DISPLACED TO THE SOUTH. A 010933 SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE
IMAGE REVEALS AN OVERALL LACK OF CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE ASSOCIATED
WITH THE SYSTEM. INVEST 97W IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR
DEVELOPMENT CHARACTERIZED BY LOW (<15 KT) VWS, MARGINAL POLEWARD
OUTFLOW, AND WARM (29-30C) SST. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN DISAGREEMENT
ABOUT THE FORECASTED PATH AND INTENSITY FOR INVEST 97W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 997 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS LOW.
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