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12W JMA:TD[W] 遭銀河颱風併吞

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發佈時間: 2021-8-1 03:56

正文摘要:

  熱帶低壓   編號:12 W 名稱:無 以上資料來自:JMA、JTWC、颱風論壇整理製作

老農民版夜神月 發表於 2021-8-6 10:19
本帖最後由 老農民版夜神月 於 2021-8-6 10:23 編輯

JTWC再發Final Warning,JMA則維持TD
wp1221 (2).gif
WTPN34 PGTW 060300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W (TWELVE) WARNING NR 011//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W (TWELVE) WARNING NR 011   
   04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   060000Z --- NEAR 31.1N 135.0E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   REPEAT POSIT: 31.1N 135.0E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   061200Z --- 31.3N 133.2E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   070000Z --- 30.0N 132.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
060300Z POSITION NEAR 31.1N 134.5E.
06AUG21. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W (TWELVE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
241 NM SOUTHEAST OF IWAKUNI, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A FULLY EXPOSED LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE INITIAL POSITION IS ASSESSED
WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE BASED ON THE AFOREMENTIONED MSI, AS WELL AS THE
PGTW SATELLITE FIX. TD 12W IS CURRENTLY EXPERIENCING DIRECT CYCLONE
INTERACTION WITH THE STRONGER AND MORE DOMINANT TS 14W, WHICH IS
POSITIONED ABOUT 310NM TO THE SOUTHWEST. AS A RESULT, TD 12W IS
BEING ACCELERATED AROUND 14W?S NORTHERN PERIPHERY WHILE ENCOUNTERING
INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS). IN ADDITION, THERE IS DRY AIR
ENTRAINMENT IN THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST
PERIOD. THE AMOUNT OF VWS BEING INTRODUCED BY THE RAPIDLY
APPROACHING TS 14W TO THE SOUTHWEST IS HINDERING ANY FURTHER
DEVELOPMENT. GLOBAL MODELS AGREE THAT TD 12W WILL RAPIDLY DISSIPATE
AND BECOME FULLY ABSORBED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL
WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI.
THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO
TROPICAL STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 14W (MIRINAE) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 15W (NIDA) WARNINGS
(WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN
20210806021900_0_Z__C_010000_20210806000000_MET_CHT_JCIspas_JCP600x581_JRcolor_T.png
老農民版夜神月 發表於 2021-8-6 07:49
中心裸露,雲系已幾乎遭到其西南方的銀河所吸收
20210805.2320.himawari-8.vis.12W.TWELVE.25kts.995mb.30.3N.136.5E.100pc.jpg 20210805.1937.f15.85rgb.12W.TWELVE.25kts.995mb.30.3N.136.5E.090pc.jpg
wp1221 (1).gif
老農民版夜神月 發表於 2021-8-5 08:07
JTWC重新開始發報,並認為將短暫成為TS
wp1221.gif 12W_041800sair.jpg
WTPN34 PGTW 042100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W (TWELVE) WARNING NR 006//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W (TWELVE) WARNING NR 006   
   04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   041800Z --- NEAR 29.4N 140.4E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   REPEAT POSIT: 29.4N 140.4E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   050600Z --- 29.0N 137.5E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   051800Z --- 29.7N 136.4E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   060600Z --- 30.9N 134.9E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   061800Z --- 32.1N 132.4E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
042100Z POSITION NEAR 29.3N 139.7E.
04AUG21. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W (TWELVE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
356 NM SOUTH OF YOKOSUKA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. AVAILABLE METOROLOGICAL DATA SUPPORTS THE
REGENERATION OF TD 12W, THEREFORE, JTWC HAS RESUMED WARNINGS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041800Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 050300Z, 050900Z, 051500Z AND 052100Z. REFER TO TROPICAL
STORM 13W (LUPIT) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (FOURTEEN) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W (FIFTEEN)
WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN


老農民版夜神月 發表於 2021-8-4 22:16

JMA:TD 12W復編

本帖最後由 老農民版夜神月 於 2021-8-4 22:37 編輯

  熱帶低壓  

  基本資料  
JMA升格熱低日期:2021 08 04 20
JMA降格熱低日期:2021 08 00 00
登陸地點      :

  巔峰時期資料  
近中心最強風速
日本氣象廳  (JMA) :15 m/s ( 30 kt )
海平面最低氣壓1004 百帕
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 29N 141E WNW SLOWLY.

20210804110201_0_Z__C_010000_20210804090000_MET_CHT_JCIspas_JCP600x581_JRcolor_T.png 20210804141300_0_Z__C_010000_20210804120000_MET_CHT_JCIspas_JCP600x581_JRcolor_T.png

點評

這個...不知道能不能算,建議還是跟12W併帖好了  發表於 2021-8-4 22:22

評分

參與人數 1水氣能量 +10 收起 理由
周子堯@FB + 10 判定為12W復編,先行併帖囉~

查看全部評分

老農民版夜神月 發表於 2021-8-4 05:58
JMA18Z撤TD
20210803140130_0_Z__C_010000_20210803120000_MET_CHT_JCIspas_JCP600x581_JRcolor_T.png 20210803200430_0_Z__C_010000_20210803180000_MET_CHT_JCIspas_JCP600x581_JRcolor_T.png
20210803.2120.himawari-8.vis.12W.TWELVE.20kts.1006mb.29.2N.148.1E.100pc.jpg
t02436 發表於 2021-8-4 00:17
補充一下
JTWC 06Z已發FW
wp1221.gif

12Z評價再降低至20節,已降為擾動。
WP, 12, 2021080312,   , BEST,   0, 290N, 1492E,  20, 1007, DB,

rbtop-animated.gif

12W_b13ca.gif
t02436 發表於 2021-8-3 00:54
15Z報預報會短暫增強為TS
wp122021.gif

himawari8_ir_12W.gif

12W_gefs_latest.png

本平台僅供學術討論之用,預報應以氣象局為準

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