NHC:60%
1. Showers and thunderstorms in association with a broad area of
low pressure located several hundred miles south-southwest of the
coast of Mexico have become better organized. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for development of this system and a
tropical depression is likely to form in the next couple of days as
the system moves slowly west-northwestward to northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent