0908morakot

  基本資料  
編號　　　　：95 W
擾動編號日期：2016 年 09 月 02 日 01 時
撤編日期　　：2016 年 09 月 04 日 10 時
95W.INVEST.15kts.998mb.19N.143.4E

t02436

JTWC評級Low

(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR
18.6N 145.2E, APPROXIMATELY 315 NM NORTH OF GUAM. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A DEFINED BUT EXPOSED LOW-
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH ISOLATED DEEP CONVECTION
FLARING OVER THE SOUTH QUADRANT OF THE LLCC. A 020003Z METOP-A 89GHZ
IMAGE SHOWS SHALLOW BANDING WRAPPING INTO A BROAD CENTER WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT CONVECTIVE BANDING. THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED WITHIN A
MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT UNDER THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF AN UPPER LOW
WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES NO
SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT AS THE DISTURBANCE TRACKS POLEWARD OVER THE
NEXT DAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.

ericlin6925

目前看來似乎不太會發展

dom

現在95w 已經移到30N 了,
看束很快就消散.......