t02436

00Z已評級Low

(3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR
13.5N 114.2E, APPROXIMATELY 475 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF HO CHI MINH
CITY, VIETNAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A
101921Z SSMI 85GHZ IMAGE DEPICT A BROAD, UNDEFINED LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER WITH AN EXTENSIVE AREA OF DEEP, DISORGANIZED
CONVECTION ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS
INDICATES AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY STRONG
DIFFLUENT NORTHEASTERLY FLOW AND MODERATE TO STRONG (20-30 KNOTS)
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. DYNAMIC MODELS INDICATE A WESTWARD TRACK MOTION
TOWARD VIETNAM WITH GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS LOW.

asus5635

越南開始關注這系統了

t02436

JMA發布GW

熱帯低気圧
平成28年09月11日16時30分 発表

<11日15時の実況>
大きさ        -
強さ        -
熱帯低気圧
存在地域        南シナ海
中心位置        北緯 12度35分(12.6度)
東経 114度10分(114.2度)
進行方向、速さ        北西 ゆっくり
中心気圧        1002hPa
中心付近の最大風速        15m/s(30kt)
最大瞬間風速        23m/s(45kt)

<12日15時の予報>
強さ        -
存在地域        南シナ海
予報円の中心        北緯 14度00分(14.0度)
東経 113度00分(113.0度)
進行方向、速さ        北西 ゆっくり
中心気圧        996hPa
中心付近の最大風速        18m/s(35kt)
最大瞬間風速        25m/s(50kt)
予報円の半径        200km(110NM)

黃琮瑜@FB

16號會影響到下龍灣嗎？

t02436

CMA已在09Z升格為熱帶低壓並開始發報。

t02436

JTWC於1630Z發布TCFA